Charlotte Hornets – Toronto Raptors · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 February 2020

CHA99–96TOR

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 21 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when CHA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Devonte' Graham decided it, the Charlotte Hornets player with the most points (18, with 4 rebounds and 5 assists; -11 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Jalen McDaniels's (+18). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Toronto Raptors 96-99 Charlotte Hornets (February 28, 2020) was hit by Terry Rozier: a free throw with 2.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Charlotte Hornets up 97-96. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Toronto Raptors 96-99 Charlotte Hornets (February 28, 2020) was a 12-0 run by the Charlotte Hornets in the second quarter (from 7:48 to 6:06), from 32-27 to 44-27. The Toronto Raptors' best was a 8-0 run in the third quarter (from 10:13 to 8:40), from 43-56 to 51-56.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Terry Rozier makes free throw 1 of 1.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Terry Rozier decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 4 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Rozier decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

28 February 2020 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401161521:705; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Rozier · Graham · Bridges · Washington · Martin

Closing lineup · TOR

Anunoby · Siakam · Lowry · Powell · Boucher

Q1Q2Q3Q4

CHA

Terry Rozier

36′ · -2

Devonte' Graham

35′ · -11

Miles Bridges

34′ · -5

Bismack Biyombo

31′ · -5

P.J. Washington

31′ · -3

Jalen McDaniels

24′ · +18

Cody Martin

23′ · +9

Willy Hernangomez

14′ · +6

Caleb Martin

12′ · +8

TOR

OG Anunoby

40′ · 0

Pascal Siakam

39′ · +6

Kyle Lowry

38′ · +5

Norman Powell

36′ · +4

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson

28′ · -2

Terence Davis

15′ · -3

Patrick McCaw

20′ · -16

Chris Boucher

16′ · -2

Matt Thomas

7′ · -7

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Biyombo played 14.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.
Rozier, Bridges, Martin, McDaniels, and Biyombo played 7.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Hernangomez, Graham, Martin, Martin, and Washington played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Toronto Raptors

Hollis-Jefferson, Powell, Siakam, Anunoby, and Lowry played 16.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Powell, McCaw, Siakam, Boucher, and Davis played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Hollis-Jefferson, Siakam, Anunoby, Davis, and Lowry played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

Rozier, Bridges, Graham, McDaniels, and Biyombo played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Martin, and Washington played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Hernangomez, Graham, Martin, Washington, and McDaniels played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Hernangomez, Martin, Washington, and McDaniels played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Hernangomez, Graham, Martin, Washington, and McDaniels played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Rozier, Bridges, Martin, McDaniels, and Biyombo played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Graham, Martin, Washington, McDaniels, and Biyombo played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Rozier, Hernangomez, Bridges, Martin, and McDaniels played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Toronto Raptors

Powell, McCaw, Anunoby, Boucher, and Lowry played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Powell, Siakam, Anunoby, Boucher, and Lowry played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Hollis-Jefferson, Powell, McCaw, Anunoby, and Thomas played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Powell, Siakam, Anunoby, Davis, and Lowry played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Hollis-Jefferson, McCaw, Anunoby, Thomas, and Lowry played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Siakam, Anunoby, Boucher, Davis, and Lowry played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Powell, McCaw, Siakam, Anunoby, and Lowry played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
McCaw, Siakam, Boucher, Davis, and Lowry played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Hollis-Jefferson, McCaw, Siakam, Anunoby, and Thomas played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Pascal Siakam covered 4.59 km, more than anyone in the game.

Devonte' Graham touched the ball 100 times, a game high.
Devonte' Graham made 75 passes, a game high.
Bismack Biyombo had 23 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Charlotte Hornets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Terry Rozier	4.46	7.0	78	61
Miles Bridges	4.18	6.9	44	30
Devonte' Graham	4.05	6.5	100	75
P.J. Washington	3.78	6.7	61	36
Bismack Biyombo	3.65	6.5	45	31
Jalen McDaniels	3.12	7.3	35	22
Cody Martin	3.02	7.5	29	22
Willy Hernangomez	1.66	6.7	31	20
Caleb Martin	1.58	7.5	22	21

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Pascal Siakam	4.59	6.5	67	38
OG Anunoby	4.57	6.4	49	35
Norman Powell	4.23	6.5	37	15
Kyle Lowry	4.01	5.9	87	65
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	3.31	6.8	50

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Charlotte Hornets

Terry Rozier recovered 1.5 loose balls per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 6 of 352 in the league.
Cody Martin drew 0.30 charges per game over his 46 games.
He ranks 9 of 352 in the league.
Devonte' Graham drew 0.21 charges per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 15 of 352 in the league.

Toronto Raptors

Kyle Lowry drew 0.59 charges per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 2 of 352 in the league.
Pascal Siakam recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 21 of 352 in the league.
OG Anunoby deflected 2.5 passes per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 37 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Toronto Raptors have won 45 of their 77 games against the Charlotte Hornets.

45-32record of the Toronto Raptors · NBA 2004-05 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2004-05 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.800

100% of capacity

Scotiabank Arena · Toronto

Scoring

195

combined points

28.6 below the season average (223.6)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: 5 Second Violation · 00:01.2

Kyle Lowry → Hornets

Lowry (TOR) does not release the inbound pass within five seconds.

Foul: Personal · 00:01.2

OG Anunoby → Devonte' Graham

Anunoby (TOR) commits a take foul on Graham (CHA) after he has released the shot attempt and a shooting foul should be called instead of a personal foul.