SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 August 2020

SAS130–132PHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsSAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when SAS does.

Game context

Scoring
262
combined points
38.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

25 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:16.3
Tobias Harris → Dejounte Murray
Harris (PHI) makes contact to Murray's (SAS) arm and the illegal contact dislodges the ball into the backcourt.