SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 4 January 2021

IND118–116NOP
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 36 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NOP winsIND wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NOP leads and falls when IND does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · IND

Malcolm Brogdon
Victor Oladipo
Justin Holiday
Doug McDermott
JaKarr Sampson

Brogdon · Oladipo · Holiday · McDermott · Sampson

Closing lineup · NOP

Brandon Ingram
Lonzo Ball
Zion Williamson
Eric Bledsoe
Steven Adams

Ingram · Ball · Williamson · Bledsoe · Adams

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
IND
Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon

46′ · +9

Victor Oladipo

Victor Oladipo

36′ · +8

Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis

35′ · -13

Myles Turner

Myles Turner

23′ · -2

Aaron Holiday

Aaron Holiday

20′ · -15

Justin Holiday

Justin Holiday

45′ · +11

Doug McDermott

Doug McDermott

29′ · +14

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

24′ · -1

JaKarr Sampson

JaKarr Sampson

9′ · -1

NOP
Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

40′ · -6

Lonzo Ball

Lonzo Ball

38′ · -2

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

35′ · +18

Eric Bledsoe

Eric Bledsoe

34′ · +1

Steven Adams

Steven Adams

31′ · +3

JJ Redick

JJ Redick

33′ · -2

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

29′ · -9

Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes

14′ · -6

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

11′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. IND and NOP.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Indiana Pacers

  • Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 9.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday, Holiday, and Oladipo played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Turner, Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday, and Oladipo played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Ball, Williamson, Bledsoe, and Adams played 13.8 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Williamson, Redick, and Adams played 7.4 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Redick, and Adams played 6.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each New Orleans Pelicans lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Indiana Pacers

  • Turner, Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo, and McDermott played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo, Sampson, and McConnell played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sabonis, Holiday, McDermott, Sampson, and McConnell played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo, and McDermott played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Turner, Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo, and McConnell played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Turner, Holiday, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Turner, Sabonis, Brogdon, Holiday, and Oladipo played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Sabonis, Holiday, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brogdon, Holiday, Oladipo, McDermott, and Sampson played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Hart, Williamson, Hayes, Redick, and Bledsoe played 5.5 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Hart, Hayes, Redick, and Bledsoe played 4.6 minutes together.

  • Hart, Williamson, Alexander-Walker, Redick, and Bledsoe played 4.5 minutes together.

  • Ball, Hart, Williamson, Alexander-Walker, and Bledsoe played 3.0 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Redick played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Bledsoe, and Adams played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Hayes, and Redick played 1.6 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
750
4.4% of capacity
Smoothie King Center · New Orleans
Scoring
234
combined points
9.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:50.4
JaKarr Sampson → Steven Adams
Sampson (IND) pulls Adams' (NOP) hand off ball during the rebound.
Foul: Shooting · 01:01.3
Myles Turner → Zion Williamson
Turner (IND) makes contact to Williamson's (NOP) arm/elbow during his shooting motion that disrupts his drive to the basket and shot attempt.