Toronto Raptors – Golden State Warriors · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 January 2021

TOR105–106GSW

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ GSW winsTOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when GSW leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Andrew Wiggins decided it, the Golden State Warriors player with the most points (17, with 2 rebounds and 4 assists; -8 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Kent Bazemore's (+7). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Golden State Warriors 106-105 Toronto Raptors (January 10, 2021) was hit by Damion Lee: a free throw with 4.3 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Golden State Warriors up 106-105. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Golden State Warriors 106-105 Toronto Raptors (January 10, 2021) was a 10-0 run by the Golden State Warriors between the third quarter and the fourth quarter, from 79-72 to 89-72. The Toronto Raptors' best was a 10-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 9:10 to 5:17), from 83-94 to 93-94.

What were the keys of the last Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Damion Lee makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Damion Lee decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 4.3 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Lee decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 January 2021 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401267308:694; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

This is how the two teams compared in passes and jump shots.

Toronto made 292 passes and Golden State made 327.
TOR 292327 GSW
Toronto made 15 of 49 jump shots and Golden State made 18 of 58.
TOR15/49
GSW18/58

Passes come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game: each team's total adds up its players' passes. Jump shots come from ESPN's play-by-play: every field-goal attempt ESPN logs as a jump shot counts, threes included.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · TOR

Siakam · VanVleet · Anunoby · Lowry · Powell

Closing lineup · GSW

Wiggins · Oubre · Green · Bazemore · Looney

Q1Q2Q3Q4

TOR

Pascal Siakam

40′ · +7

Fred VanVleet

39′ · +1

OG Anunoby

37′ · 0

Kyle Lowry

34′ · 0

Norman Powell

22′ · -10

Malachi Flynn

13′ · -5

Chris Boucher

24′ · +5

Yuta Watanabe

9′ · -7

Terence Davis

12′ · -6

Stanley Johnson

9′ · +10

GSW

Stephen Curry

38′ · +7

Andrew Wiggins

34′ · -8

Kelly Oubre Jr.

29′ · -4

Draymond Green

29′ · -3

James Wiseman

17′ · -2

Kent Bazemore

21′ · +7

Kevon Looney

14′ · +5

Eric Paschall

19′ · +4

Mychal Mulder

11′ · +5

Damion Lee

15′ · -2

Brad Wanamaker

13′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. TOR and GSW.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Toronto Raptors

Powell, Siakam, VanVleet, Anunoby, and Lowry played 14.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Siakam, VanVleet, Anunoby, Boucher, and Lowry played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Johnson, Powell, Siakam, VanVleet, and Anunoby played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Golden State Warriors

Oubre, Wiseman, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 16.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Lee, Paschall, Wanamaker, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 7.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Looney, Mulder, Paschall, Curry, and Bazemore played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Toronto Raptors

Siakam, VanVleet, Anunoby, Boucher, and Flynn played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Johnson, Siakam, Boucher, Davis, and Lowry played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
VanVleet, Boucher, Davis, Watanabe, and Flynn played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Siakam, VanVleet, Anunoby, Flynn, and Lowry played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Siakam, VanVleet, Boucher, Watanabe, and Flynn played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Anunoby, Boucher, Davis, Watanabe, and Lowry played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Powell, Siakam, Anunoby, Davis, and Lowry played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Boucher, Davis, Watanabe, Flynn, and Lowry played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Golden State Warriors

Oubre, Looney, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Oubre, Looney, Curry, Green, and Bazemore played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Lee, Paschall, Curry, and Wanamaker played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Lee, Mulder, Paschall, Wanamaker, and Bazemore played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Mulder, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Lee, Curry, Green, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Lee, Mulder, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Pascal Siakam covered 4.89 km, more than anyone in the game.

Stephen Curry touched the ball 88 times, a game high.
Draymond Green made 73 passes, a game high.
Andrew Wiggins defended 9 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Pascal Siakam had 18 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Pascal Siakam	4.89	6.8	81	55
Fred VanVleet	4.83	6.9	81	60
OG Anunoby	4.52	6.9	45	30
Kyle Lowry	3.81	6.4	77	55
Chris Boucher	2.88	6.6	40	29
Norman Powell	2.86	7.2	27	15
Terence Davis	1.63	7.1	20	14
Malachi Flynn	1.53	6.7	19	15
Stanley Johnson	1.30	7.6	14	11
Yuta Watanabe	1.19	7.2	13	8

Golden State Warriors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Stephen Curry	4.70	6.9	88	61
Andrew Wiggins	4.31	7.0	50	26
Kelly Oubre Jr.	3.60	7.1	37	22
Draymond Green	3.23	6.2	85	73
Kent Bazemore	2.65	7.0	48

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2020-21 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet deflected 3.8 passes per game over his 52 games.
He ranks 1 of 364 in the league.
Kyle Lowry drew 0.43 charges per game over his 46 games.
He ranks 3 of 364 in the league.
Chris Boucher contested 11.8 shots per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 6 of 364 in the league.

Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green defended 5.2 shots at the rim per game over his 62 games, and opponents made 13 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 2 of 143 in the league.
Kelly Oubre Jr. deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 55 games.
He ranks 23 of 364 in the league.
Andrew Wiggins contested 8.9 shots per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 29 of 364 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Golden State Warriors have won 35 of their 62 games against the Toronto Raptors.

35-27record of the Golden State Warriors · NBA 1996-97 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1996-97 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Scoring

211

combined points

13.2 below the season average (224.2)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Double Dribble · 00:49.4

Fred VanVleet → Warriors

VanVleet (TOR) dribbles, places both hands on the ball, and then continues his dribble.