SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 January 2021

LAL106–107PHI
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 71% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsLAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when LAL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAL

LeBron James
Anthony Davis
Dennis Schroder
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Alex Caruso

James · Davis · Schroder · Caldwell-Pope · Caruso

Closing lineup · PHI

Ben Simmons
Joel Embiid
Tobias Harris
Danny Green
Seth Curry

Simmons · Embiid · Harris · Green · Curry

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAL
LeBron James

LeBron James

39′ · +3

Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis

35′ · -4

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

29′ · 0

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

27′ · +1

Marc Gasol

Marc Gasol

24′ · -9

Kyle Kuzma

Kyle Kuzma

16′ · -5

Wesley Matthews

Wesley Matthews

20′ · 0

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

15′ · -6

Markieff Morris

Markieff Morris

13′ · +3

Talen Horton-Tucker

Talen Horton-Tucker

7′ · +4

Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso

16′ · +8

PHI
Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

39′ · -11

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

38′ · +8

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

37′ · -3

Danny Green

Danny Green

36′ · +8

Seth Curry

Seth Curry

31′ · +3

Matisse Thybulle

Matisse Thybulle

15′ · +1

Shake Milton

Shake Milton

21′ · +5

Furkan Korkmaz

Furkan Korkmaz

11′ · +4

Dwight Howard

Dwight Howard

7′ · -6

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

6′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAL and PHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Gasol, Davis, Schroder, Caldwell-Pope, and James played 16.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Matthews, Morris, and James played 7.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Harrell, Caruso, Matthews, Davis, and James played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Simmons, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 23.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Simmons, Milton, Green, Harris, and Embiid played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, and Howard played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Caruso, Davis, Schroder, Caldwell-Pope, and James played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Matthews, Morris, and James played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrell, Kuzma, Matthews, Davis, and Schroder played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Caruso, Horton-Tucker, Gasol, Morris, and James played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kuzma, Gasol, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Caruso, Gasol, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Caruso, Matthews, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Embiid played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Simmons, Thybulle, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, and Howard played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Milton, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Howard played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, Green, and Embiid played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Harris, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, Harris, and Howard played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Milton, Maxey, Green, Harris, and Embiid played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
213
combined points
11.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

28 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 01:31.8
Joel Embiid → Anthony Davis
Embiid (PHI) slides his pivot foot at the start of his dribble.