Win probability changed during the game. · 27 January 2021
It was more exciting than 71% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when LAL does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAL
James · Davis · Schroder · Caldwell-Pope · Caruso
Closing lineup · PHI
Simmons · Embiid · Harris · Green · Curry
LeBron James
39′ · +3
Anthony Davis
35′ · -4
Dennis Schroder
29′ · 0
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
27′ · +1
Marc Gasol
24′ · -9
Kyle Kuzma
16′ · -5
Wesley Matthews
20′ · 0
Montrezl Harrell
15′ · -6
Markieff Morris
13′ · +3
Talen Horton-Tucker
7′ · +4
Alex Caruso
16′ · +8
Ben Simmons
39′ · -11
Joel Embiid
38′ · +8
Tobias Harris
37′ · -3
Danny Green
36′ · +8
Seth Curry
31′ · +3
Matisse Thybulle
15′ · +1
Shake Milton
21′ · +5
Furkan Korkmaz
11′ · +4
Dwight Howard
7′ · -6
Tyrese Maxey
6′ · -4
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAL and PHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Los Angeles Lakers
Gasol, Davis, Schroder, Caldwell-Pope, and James played 16.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Harrell, Kuzma, Matthews, Morris, and James played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Harrell, Caruso, Matthews, Davis, and James played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Simmons, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 23.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Simmons, Milton, Green, Harris, and Embiid played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, and Howard played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Los Angeles Lakers
Caruso, Davis, Schroder, Caldwell-Pope, and James played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Kuzma, Horton-Tucker, Matthews, Morris, and James played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Harrell, Kuzma, Matthews, Davis, and Schroder played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Caruso, Horton-Tucker, Gasol, Morris, and James played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Kuzma, Gasol, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Caruso, Gasol, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Caruso, Matthews, Davis, Schroder, and Caldwell-Pope played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Philadelphia 76ers
Simmons, Korkmaz, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Embiid played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Simmons, Thybulle, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Simmons, Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, and Howard played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Milton, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Milton, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Howard played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, Green, and Embiid played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Simmons, Korkmaz, Milton, Harris, and Curry played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Korkmaz, Milton, Thybulle, Harris, and Howard played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Milton, Maxey, Green, Harris, and Embiid played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

