SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 30 January 2021

POR123–122CHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when POR does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Gary Trent Jr.
Damian Lillard
Enes Freedom
Robert Covington
Rodney Hood

Trent · Lillard · Freedom · Covington · Hood

Closing lineup · CHI

Lauri Markkanen
Zach LaVine
Coby White
Thaddeus Young
Garrett Temple

Markkanen · LaVine · White · Young · Temple

Q1Q2Q3Q4
POR
Gary Trent Jr.

Gary Trent Jr.

37′ · +9

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

36′ · 0

Enes Freedom

Enes Freedom

34′ · +17

Robert Covington

Robert Covington

34′ · +19

Nassir Little

Nassir Little

14′ · +6

Carmelo Anthony

Carmelo Anthony

17′ · -23

Rodney Hood

Rodney Hood

27′ · -4

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

27′ · -3

Harry Giles III

Harry Giles III

13′ · -18

CHI
Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

36′ · +8

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

35′ · +6

Coby White

Coby White

34′ · -17

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

24′ · -12

Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford

10′ · -15

Thaddeus Young

Thaddeus Young

29′ · +13

Garrett Temple

Garrett Temple

25′ · +18

Otto Porter Jr.

Otto Porter Jr.

24′ · -12

Denzel Valentine

Denzel Valentine

5′ · +4

Cristiano Felicio

Cristiano Felicio

5′ · -1

Tomas Satoransky

Tomas Satoransky

13′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Trent, Little, Freedom, Lillard, and Covington played 13.6 minutes together.

  • Giles, Simons, Trent, Hood, and Anthony played 6.9 minutes together.

  • Giles, Simons, Lillard, Hood, and Anthony played 6.5 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Portland Trail Blazers lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Chicago Bulls

  • Markkanen, Young, Temple, Satoransky, and LaVine played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Gafford, Williams, and LaVine played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Williams, Porter, and LaVine played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Trent, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Hood played 5.0 minutes together.

  • Simons, Trent, Freedom, Covington, and Hood played 4.7 minutes together.

  • Simons, Trent, Freedom, Lillard, and Covington played 3.4 minutes together.

  • Simons, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Hood played 3.3 minutes together.

  • Trent, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Anthony played 2.3 minutes together.

  • Simons, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Anthony played 1.3 minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Markkanen, White, Williams, Young, and Porter played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Williams, Young, and Temple played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Young, Temple, and LaVine played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Felicio, Valentine, Temple, Porter, and LaVine played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Williams, Young, and LaVine played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • White, Young, Temple, Satoransky, and Porter played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • White, Gafford, Williams, Young, and Porter played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • White, Young, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
245
combined points
20.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Violation: Defensive Goaltending · 01:42.2
Lauri Markkanen → Trail Blazers
Markkanen (CHI) makes contact with the ball after the ball has made contact with the backboard.