SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 February 2021

PHI114–118POR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsPHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when PHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHI

Tobias Harris
Ben Simmons
Joel Embiid
Seth Curry
Danny Green

Harris · Simmons · Embiid · Curry · Green

Closing lineup · POR

Gary Trent Jr.
Damian Lillard
Robert Covington
Derrick Jones Jr.
Carmelo Anthony

Trent · Lillard · Covington · Jones · Anthony

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHI
Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

38′ · -14

Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

37′ · +7

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

35′ · +9

Seth Curry

Seth Curry

35′ · +9

Danny Green

Danny Green

31′ · +3

Furkan Korkmaz

Furkan Korkmaz

24′ · -1

Matisse Thybulle

Matisse Thybulle

15′ · -7

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

13′ · -13

Dwight Howard

Dwight Howard

13′ · -13

POR
Gary Trent Jr.

Gary Trent Jr.

37′ · +11

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

36′ · -8

Enes Freedom

Enes Freedom

32′ · -7

Robert Covington

Robert Covington

25′ · -2

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

23′ · 0

Carmelo Anthony

Carmelo Anthony

26′ · +6

Rodney Hood

Rodney Hood

24′ · +3

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

23′ · +6

Harry Giles III

Harry Giles III

14′ · +11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHI and POR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Simmons, Green, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 23.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Korkmaz, Thybulle, Maxey, Harris, and Howard played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Green, Curry, and Embiid played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Jones, Trent, Freedom, Lillard, and Covington played 14.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Giles, Simons, Trent, Hood, and Anthony played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Jones, Trent, Freedom, Lillard, and Anthony played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Harris, Curry, and Embiid played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Thybulle, Curry, and Embiid played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Korkmaz, Thybulle, Maxey, and Howard played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Korkmaz, Maxey, Green, Harris, and Howard played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Giles, Simons, Lillard, Hood, and Anthony played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Simons, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Hood played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Simons, Trent, Freedom, Covington, and Hood played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simons, Freedom, Lillard, Hood, and Anthony played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Trent, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Anthony played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Trent, Lillard, Covington, Hood, and Anthony played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
232
combined points
7.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors