SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 17 February 2021

DEN128–130WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsDEN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when DEN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DEN

Jamal Murray
Nikola Jokic
Michael Porter Jr.
JaMychal Green
Facundo Campazzo

Murray · Jokic · Porter · Green · Campazzo

Closing lineup · WAS

Russell Westbrook
Bradley Beal
Rui Hachimura
Davis Bertans
Robin Lopez

Westbrook · Beal · Hachimura · Bertans · Lopez

Q1Q2Q3Q4
DEN
Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray

40′ · +3

Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic

37′ · +5

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr.

31′ · +1

JaMychal Green

JaMychal Green

30′ · +8

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

28′ · +10

Facundo Campazzo

Facundo Campazzo

25′ · -7

Monte Morris

Monte Morris

19′ · -10

Zeke Nnaji

Zeke Nnaji

13′ · -8

Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein

10′ · -7

R.J. Hampton

R.J. Hampton

7′ · -5

WAS
Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

39′ · 0

Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

37′ · -1

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

29′ · -6

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

17′ · -16

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

3′ · -6

Alex Len

Alex Len

18′ · +2

Raul Neto

Raul Neto

20′ · +2

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

30′ · +10

Robin Lopez

Robin Lopez

27′ · +11

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

21′ · +14

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DEN and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Denver Nuggets

  • Murray, Porter, Green, Harris, and Jokic played 22.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Murray, Hartenstein, Morris, Nnaji, and Campazzo played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Murray, Campazzo, Green, Harris, and Jokic played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Avdija, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Neto played 11.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, Beal, and Len played 11.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hachimura, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Denver Nuggets

  • Murray, Hartenstein, Morris, Hampton, and Campazzo played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Morris, Hampton, Nnaji, Campazzo, and Jokic played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Morris, Porter, Campazzo, Green, and Jokic played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Morris, Porter, Nnaji, Campazzo, and Jokic played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Murray, Porter, Campazzo, Harris, and Jokic played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Murray, Morris, Hampton, Nnaji, and Campazzo played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Washington Wizards

  • Avdija, Lopez, Bertans, Beal, and Neto played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Beal played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, Len, and Neto played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, Lopez, and Beal played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hachimura, Avdija, Westbrook, Beal, and Len played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Avdija, Bertans, Beal, Len, and Neto played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
258
combined points
33.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:02.0
Robin Lopez → Facundo Campazzo
Lopez (WAS) extends into Campazzo's (DEN) path while setting the screen and does not give him room to avoid the contact.
Foul: Offensive · 01:00.4
Michael Porter Jr. → Bradley Beal
Porter Jr. (DEN) kicks his leg out unnaturally during his shot attempt and makes contact with Beal that affects his ability to defend.