Milwaukee Bucks – Memphis Grizzlies · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 4 March 2021

MIL112–111MEM

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when MIL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Giannis Antetokounmpo decided it, the Milwaukee Bucks player with the most points (26, with 11 rebounds and 8 assists; +9 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Memphis Grizzlies 111-112 Milwaukee Bucks (March 4, 2021) was hit by Jrue Holiday: a jump shot with 2.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Milwaukee Bucks up 112-111. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Memphis Grizzlies 111-112 Milwaukee Bucks (March 4, 2021) was a 9-0 run by the Milwaukee Bucks in the first quarter (from 5:57 to 3:27), from 13-9 to 22-9. The Memphis Grizzlies' best was a 7-0 run in the third quarter (from 3:54 to 2:43), from 68-77 to 75-77.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jrue Holiday makes step back jumpshot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Jrue Holiday decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Holiday decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

4 March 2021 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401267715:719; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIL

Middleton · Antetokounmpo · DiVincenzo · Connaughton · Holiday

Closing lineup · MEM

Morant · Brooks · Valanciunas · Bane · Clarke

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIL

Khris Middleton

39′ · +5

Giannis Antetokounmpo

36′ · +9

Donte DiVincenzo

30′ · +5

Brook Lopez

27′ · -3

D.J. Augustin

21′ · +2

Pat Connaughton

30′ · -3

Jrue Holiday

23′ · +3

Bobby Portis

15′ · -4

Thanasis Antetokounmpo

7′ · -3

Bryn Forbes

12′ · -6

MEM

Ja Morant

39′ · -3

Dillon Brooks

35′ · -5

Jonas Valanciunas

27′ · 0

Kyle Anderson

26′ · -7

Desmond Bane

19′ · +3

Brandon Clarke

29′ · +5

De'Anthony Melton

15′ · -3

Xavier Tillman

13′ · 0

Justise Winslow

24′ · +3

Tyus Jones

13′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIL and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Milwaukee Bucks

DiVincenzo, Augustin, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Connaughton, Augustin, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Memphis Grizzlies

Brooks, Morant, Bane, Valanciunas, and Anderson played 9.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Winslow, Brooks, Morant, Clarke, and Anderson played 7.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Valanciunas played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Milwaukee Bucks

Portis, Connaughton, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Portis, Forbes, DiVincenzo, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Forbes, DiVincenzo, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Connaughton, Augustin, Lopez, Holiday, and Middleton played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Forbes, DiVincenzo, and Antetokounmpo played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Connaughton, Forbes, DiVincenzo, Lopez, and Middleton played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Portis, Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Connaughton, Forbes, DiVincenzo, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Connaughton, Augustin, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Connaughton, Lopez, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Augustin, Lopez, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
DiVincenzo, Augustin, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

Winslow, Melton, Morant, Clarke, and Tillman played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Brooks, Melton, Morant, Clarke, and Tillman played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Winslow, Melton, Clarke, and Tillman played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Winslow, Bane, Valanciunas, and Anderson played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Jones, Winslow, Melton, Tillman, and Anderson played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Brooks, Morant, Clarke, and Valanciunas played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Winslow, Brooks, Morant, Valanciunas, and Anderson played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Winslow, Brooks, Morant, Clarke, and Valanciunas played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Brooks, Morant, Valanciunas, and Anderson played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brooks, Melton, Morant, Clarke, and Valanciunas played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Ja Morant covered 4.96 km, more than anyone in the game.

Ja Morant touched the ball 97 times, a game high.
Ja Morant made 58 passes, a game high.
Brook Lopez defended 11 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 7.
Jonas Valanciunas had 23 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Khris Middleton	4.79	6.8	76	47
Giannis Antetokounmpo	4.33	6.6	73	44
Donte DiVincenzo	3.96	7.3	51	36
Pat Connaughton	3.81	6.9	44	32
Brook Lopez	3.25	6.7	40	27
Jrue Holiday	2.83	6.8	38	18
D.J. Augustin	2.45	6.8	28	23
Bobby Portis Jr.	1.83	6.8	23	17
Bryn Forbes	1.59	7.2	13	9
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	1.00	8.1	9	7

Memphis Grizzlies

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Ja Morant	4.96	7.1	97	58
Dillon Brooks	4.20	6.7	58	33
Brandon Clarke	3.83	7.1	35	27
Jonas Valanciunas	3.28	6.6	55	35
Kyle Anderson	3.23	6.9	32

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2020-21 regular season, not this game.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez contested 17.0 shots per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 1 of 364 in the league.
Jrue Holiday recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 59 games.
He ranks 1 of 364 in the league.
Giannis Antetokounmpo recovered 1.1 loose balls per game over his 61 games.
He ranks 8 of 364 in the league.

Memphis Grizzlies

Jonas Valančiūnas contested 10.9 shots per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 10 of 364 in the league.
Dillon Brooks deflected 2.8 passes per game over his 67 games.
He ranks 21 of 364 in the league.
De'Anthony Melton deflected 2.5 passes per game over his 52 games.
He ranks 31 of 364 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Memphis Grizzlies have won 28 of their 49 games against the Milwaukee Bucks.

28-21record of the Memphis Grizzlies · NBA 2001-02 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2001-02 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

1961

11% of capacity

FedExForum · Memphis

Scoring

223

combined points

1.2 below the season average (224.2)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors