Atlanta Hawks – Toronto Raptors · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 March 2021

ATL121–120TOR

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017

· The win probability swung between the two teams 28 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when ATL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Trae Young decided it, the Atlanta Hawks player with the most points (37, with 5 rebounds and 6 assists; -5 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Tony Snell's (+11). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Toronto Raptors 120-121 Atlanta Hawks (March 11, 2021) was hit by Tony Snell: a three-pointer with 0.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Atlanta Hawks up 121-120. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Toronto Raptors 120-121 Atlanta Hawks (March 11, 2021) was a 12-0 run by the Toronto Raptors in the second quarter (from 9:17 to 7:02), from 29-48 to 41-48. The Atlanta Hawks' best was a 12-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 5:56 to 3:29), from 97-112 to 109-112.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Tony Snell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Trae Young assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Tony Snell decided this game: his points put his team ahead at the buzzer of the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Snell decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

11 March 2021 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401307353:745; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ATL

Young · Huerter · Collins · Snell · Gallinari

Closing lineup · TOR

Powell · Lowry · Bembry · Johnson · Boucher

Q1Q2Q3Q4

ATL

Trae Young

37′ · -5

Kevin Huerter

31′ · +5

Clint Capela

28′ · -23

John Collins

28′ · +9

Tony Snell

26′ · +11

Solomon Hill

22′ · -10

Danilo Gallinari

29′ · +10

Bogdan Bogdanovic

17′ · -4

Rajon Rondo

11′ · +6

Onyeka Okongwu

11′ · +6

TOR

Norman Powell

39′ · +3

Kyle Lowry

39′ · -14

DeAndre' Bembry

37′ · -6

Aron Baynes

30′ · -10

Stanley Johnson

27′ · -11

Chris Boucher

30′ · +5

Paul Watson

20′ · +16

Terence Davis

10′ · -3

Yuta Watanabe

8′ · +13

Matt Thomas

0′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ATL and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Atlanta Hawks

Collins, Huerter, Young, Snell, and Capela played 15.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Okongwu, Rondo, Gallinari, Hill, and Bogdanovic played 10.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Collins, Huerter, Young, Gallinari, and Snell played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

Toronto Raptors

Johnson, Powell, Bembry, Lowry, and Baynes played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Johnson, Powell, Bembry, Boucher, and Watson played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Powell, Bembry, Boucher, Watanabe, and Lowry played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Atlanta Hawks

Huerter, Young, Gallinari, Snell, and Capela played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Collins, Young, Gallinari, Hill, and Bogdanovic played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Collins, Huerter, Young, Hill, and Capela played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Young, Gallinari, Hill, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Huerter, Young, Gallinari, Hill, and Capela played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Collins, Huerter, Young, Gallinari, and Hill played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Toronto Raptors

Powell, Boucher, Watson, Lowry, and Baynes played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Johnson, Powell, Bembry, Boucher, and Lowry played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Johnson, Bembry, Watson, Lowry, and Baynes played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Powell, Bembry, Boucher, Watson, and Watanabe played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Bembry, Boucher, Davis, Lowry, and Baynes played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Powell, Boucher, Davis, Lowry, and Baynes played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Johnson, Powell, Watson, Lowry, and Baynes played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Powell, Bembry, Boucher, Lowry, and Baynes played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Johnson, Watson, Davis, Lowry, and Baynes played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Johnson, Bembry, Boucher, Davis, and Lowry played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Norman Powell covered 5.07 km, more than anyone in the game.

Trae Young touched the ball 106 times, a game high.
Kyle Lowry made 68 passes, a game high.
Clint Capela defended 17 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 6.
Clint Capela had 27 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Atlanta Hawks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Trae Young	4.49	6.7	106	62
Kevin Huerter	3.94	6.9	44	25
John Collins	3.65	7.2	51	31
Clint Capela	3.46	6.8	46	37
Danilo Gallinari	3.38	6.4	49	34
Tony Snell	3.36	7.0	28	23
Solomon Hill	2.74	6.9	21	14
Bogdan Bogdanović	2.08	6.9	25	17
Onyeka Okongwu	1.35	7.4	10	9
Rajon Rondo	1.32	6.6	29	21

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Norman Powell	5.07	7.2	51	25
DeAndre' Bembry	4.65	7.0	59	46
Kyle Lowry	4.65	6.6	99	68
Chris Boucher	3.96	7.2	50	30
Aron Baynes	3.51	6.6	52

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2020-21 regular season, not this game.

Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela contested 10.8 shots per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 11 of 364 in the league.
Trae Young recovered 1.1 loose balls per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 12 of 364 in the league.
John Collins contested 10.3 shots per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 15 of 364 in the league.

Toronto Raptors

Kyle Lowry drew 0.43 charges per game over his 46 games.
He ranks 3 of 364 in the league.
Chris Boucher contested 11.8 shots per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 6 of 364 in the league.
Aron Baynes drew 0.23 charges per game over his 52 games.
He ranks 19 of 364 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Toronto Raptors have won 59 of their 112 games against the Atlanta Hawks.

59-53record of the Toronto Raptors · NBA 1995-96 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

4-0in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1995-96 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Scoring

241

combined points

16.8 above the season average (224.2)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:56.1

Clint Capela → Norman Powell

Capela (ATL) legally contests Powell's (TOR) play at the basket and any contact to Powell's arm after the release is marginal. Powell naturally extends his leg out on the play and initiates the incidental contact with Capela's midsection.