SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 March 2021

CLE98–100SAC
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 93% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAC winsCLE wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAC leads and falls when CLE does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CLE

Collin Sexton
Larry Nance Jr.
Darius Garland
Brodric Thomas
Dean Wade

Sexton · Nance · Garland · Thomas · Wade

Closing lineup · SAC

De'Aaron Fox
Harrison Barnes
Richaun Holmes
Tyrese Haliburton
Delon Wright

Fox · Barnes · Holmes · Haliburton · Wright

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CLE
Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

40′ · -4

Larry Nance Jr.

Larry Nance Jr.

34′ · -8

Isaac Okoro

Isaac Okoro

33′ · -10

Darius Garland

Darius Garland

33′ · -6

Brodric Thomas

Brodric Thomas

31′ · +8

Dean Wade

Dean Wade

31′ · -2

Damyean Dotson

Damyean Dotson

23′ · +8

Lamar Stevens

Lamar Stevens

15′ · +4

SAC
De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

38′ · +5

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

36′ · +13

Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes

34′ · -3

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

33′ · -1

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

32′ · +9

Chimezie Metu

Chimezie Metu

14′ · +8

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

23′ · -2

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

18′ · -8

Maurice Harkless

Maurice Harkless

12′ · -11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CLE and SAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Dotson, Sexton, Wade, Stevens, and Thomas played 14.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Nance, Sexton, Garland, Okoro, and Thomas played 13.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Nance, Sexton, Garland, Wade, and Okoro played 8.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Hield, Fox, Haliburton, and Barnes played 19.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wright, Holmes, Fox, Davis, and Harkless played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wright, Metu, Davis, Haliburton, and Harkless played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Nance, Dotson, Garland, Wade, and Okoro played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Nance, Dotson, Sexton, Garland, and Okoro played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Nance, Garland, Wade, Okoro, and Thomas played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Wright, Hield, Fox, Metu, and Barnes played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Metu, Haliburton, and Barnes played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wright, Holmes, Hield, Fox, and Barnes played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wright, Holmes, Davis, Haliburton, and Harkless played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wright, Holmes, Fox, Davis, and Barnes played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wright, Metu, Davis, Haliburton, and Barnes played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Holmes, Hield, Davis, Haliburton, and Barnes played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
198
combined points
26.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors