SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 5 April 2021

WAS101–103TOR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 83% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsWAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when WAS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · WAS

Russell Westbrook
Deni Avdija
Raul Neto
Davis Bertans
Anthony Gill

Westbrook · Avdija · Neto · Bertans · Gill

Closing lineup · TOR

OG Anunoby
Pascal Siakam
Gary Trent Jr.
DeAndre' Bembry
Malachi Flynn

Anunoby · Siakam · Trent · Bembry · Flynn

Q1Q2Q3Q4
WAS
Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

40′ · -4

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

40′ · +8

Alex Len

Alex Len

29′ · +11

Raul Neto

Raul Neto

26′ · +7

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

24′ · +12

Ish Smith

Ish Smith

21′ · -10

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

29′ · -8

Robin Lopez

Robin Lopez

9′ · -7

Chandler Hutchison

Chandler Hutchison

13′ · -15

Anthony Gill

Anthony Gill

10′ · -4

TOR
OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby

38′ · +4

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

36′ · -20

Gary Trent Jr.

Gary Trent Jr.

31′ · -17

DeAndre' Bembry

DeAndre' Bembry

30′ · +1

Chris Boucher

Chris Boucher

20′ · -14

Malachi Flynn

Malachi Flynn

34′ · +11

Aron Baynes

Aron Baynes

21′ · +20

Stanley Johnson

Stanley Johnson

12′ · +7

Yuta Watanabe

Yuta Watanabe

18′ · +18

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. WAS and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Washington Wizards

  • Avdija, Westbrook, Bertans, Len, and Neto played 15.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Westbrook, Smith, and Len played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hutchison, Mathews, Westbrook, Lopez, and Smith played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

Toronto Raptors

  • Bembry, Siakam, Anunoby, Boucher, and Trent played 14.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Bembry, Anunoby, Watanabe, Flynn, and Baynes played 5.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 15 points.

  • Bembry, Siakam, Anunoby, Trent, and Flynn played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Washington Wizards

  • Mathews, Avdija, Westbrook, Bertans, and Len played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hutchison, Mathews, Gill, Westbrook, and Smith played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Westbrook, Lopez, and Neto played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Avdija, Gill, Westbrook, Bertans, and Neto played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hutchison, Mathews, Avdija, Gill, and Smith played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Bertans, Len, and Neto played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Lopez, Smith, and Neto played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hutchison, Mathews, Avdija, Smith, and Len played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Gill, Westbrook, and Smith played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mathews, Avdija, Smith, Len, and Neto played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Toronto Raptors

  • Johnson, Anunoby, Watanabe, Flynn, and Baynes played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Johnson, Siakam, Trent, Flynn, and Baynes played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Johnson, Siakam, Trent, Watanabe, and Flynn played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bembry, Siakam, Anunoby, Flynn, and Baynes played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Anunoby, Boucher, Watanabe, Flynn, and Baynes played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Johnson, Siakam, Anunoby, Trent, and Flynn played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bembry, Siakam, Watanabe, Flynn, and Baynes played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Bembry, Siakam, Boucher, Trent, and Flynn played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Siakam, Anunoby, Boucher, Trent, and Flynn played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
1620
8.2% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
204
combined points
20.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:27.4
Pascal Siakam → Anthony Gill
Gill (WAS) has his foot inside of the restricted area when the contact occurs with Siakam (TOR) during his driving shot attempt.
Turnover: Traveling · 01:45.7
Gary Trent Jr. → Wizards
Trent Jr. (TOR) lifts his pivot foot at the start of his dribble.