SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 18 April 2021

BKN107–109MIA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 30 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when BKN does.

Game context

Scoring
216
combined points
8.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors