SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 6 November 2021

BOS104–107DAL
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 56% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Dennis Schroder
Jayson Tatum
Marcus Smart
Robert Williams III
Josh Richardson

Schroder · Tatum · Smart · Williams · Richardson

Closing lineup · DAL

Tim Hardaway Jr.
Luka Doncic
Kristaps Porzingis
Jalen Brunson
Reggie Bullock Jr.

Hardaway · Doncic · Porzingis · Brunson · Bullock

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

39′ · 0

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

38′ · +5

Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart

36′ · -2

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

33′ · +2

Al Horford

Al Horford

26′ · -4

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

21′ · -12

Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson

31′ · -8

Grant Williams

Grant Williams

5′ · +2

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

11′ · +2

DAL
Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

35′ · 0

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

35′ · +10

Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

30′ · +5

Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis

28′ · -4

Dwight Powell

Dwight Powell

23′ · +1

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

35′ · +1

Reggie Bullock Jr.

Reggie Bullock Jr.

26′ · +2

Willie Cauley-Stein

Willie Cauley-Stein

9′ · +7

Frank Ntilikina

Frank Ntilikina

13′ · -7

Sterling Brown

Sterling Brown

7′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and DAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, Williams, Horford, Schroder, and Smart played 11.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Schroder, and Smart played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Richardson, Nesmith, Horford, Schroder, and Smart played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Finney-Smith, Doncic, Hardaway, Powell, and Porzingis played 10.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Cauley-Stein, Finney-Smith, Brunson, Doncic, and Bullock played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Brunson, Doncic, Bullock, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, Williams, Nesmith, Schroder, and Smart played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Richardson, Williams, Williams, Nesmith, and Schroder played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Nesmith, and Smart played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Pritchard, Horford, and Schroder played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Pritchard, Horford, and Smart played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Nesmith, Horford, and Schroder played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Smart played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Schroder played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Richardson, Williams, Nesmith, Pritchard, and Horford played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Ntilikina, Brown, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ntilikina, Brunson, Bullock, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Doncic, Bullock, and Powell played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Doncic, Hardaway, and Powell played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Cauley-Stein, Ntilikina, Brown, Brunson, and Bullock played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Doncic, Bullock, Hardaway, and Powell played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Doncic, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Ntilikina, Brunson, Hardaway, and Porzingis played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brunson, Doncic, Bullock, Hardaway, and Powell played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
20.052
104.4% of capacity
American Airlines Center · Dallas
Scoring
211
combined points
10.2 below the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 00:33.0
Kristaps Porzingis → Marcus Smart
Porzingis (DAL) moves laterally into Smart's (BOS) path and makes body contact, which affects Smart's SQBR. The contact occurs prior to Smart's gather.
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:49.4
Marcus Smart → Mavericks
Smart (BOS) straddles the lane line and is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.