SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 December 2021

ORL116–118HOU
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ HOU winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when HOU leads and falls when ORL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Cole Anthony
Franz Wagner
Wendell Carter Jr.
Gary Harris
Terrence Ross

Anthony · Wagner · Carter · Harris · Ross

Closing lineup · HOU

Christian Wood
Garrison Mathews
Eric Gordon
Jae'Sean Tate
Danuel House Jr.

Wood · Mathews · Gordon · Tate · House

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ORL
Cole Anthony

Cole Anthony

36′ · +3

Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

33′ · -1

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

33′ · +8

Mo Bamba

Mo Bamba

31′ · +11

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

31′ · +18

Chuma Okeke

Chuma Okeke

19′ · -13

Terrence Ross

Terrence Ross

22′ · -13

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

13′ · -10

R.J. Hampton

R.J. Hampton

15′ · -7

Mychal Mulder

Mychal Mulder

6′ · -6

HOU
Christian Wood

Christian Wood

34′ · -4

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

32′ · -6

Eric Gordon

Eric Gordon

32′ · -7

Jae'Sean Tate

Jae'Sean Tate

32′ · -1

Kevin Porter Jr.

Kevin Porter Jr.

18′ · -1

Danuel House Jr.

Danuel House Jr.

20′ · +4

Armoni Brooks

Armoni Brooks

19′ · +1

KJ Martin

KJ Martin

14′ · +9

Alperen Sengun

Alperen Sengun

19′ · +4

D.J. Augustin

D.J. Augustin

12′ · +5

Josh Christopher

Josh Christopher

6′ · +6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and HOU.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Bamba, Carter, Anthony, Wagner, and Harris played 19.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 17 points.

  • Mulder, Wagner, Okeke, Hampton, and Ross played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Bamba, Carter, Anthony, Wagner, and Ross played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

Houston Rockets

  • Wood, Brooks, Mathews, Tate, and Gordon played 7.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wood, Porter, Mathews, Tate, and Gordon played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wood, Mathews, Tate, Sengun, and Gordon played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

  • Bamba, Carter, Anthony, Hampton, and Harris played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wagner, Okeke, Anthony, Ross, and Harris played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Carter, Okeke, Anthony, Wagner, and Harris played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wagner, Okeke, Anthony, Wagner, and Ross played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bamba, Okeke, Hampton, Wagner, and Ross played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Wagner, Okeke, Hampton, Wagner, and Ross played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Bamba, Carter, Hampton, Wagner, and Ross played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Houston Rockets

  • Wood, Porter, Brooks, Mathews, and Tate played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • House, Martin, Christopher, Sengun, and Augustin played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wood, House, Martin, Christopher, and Augustin played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wood, House, Brooks, Tate, and Gordon played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Porter, Mathews, Tate, Sengun, and Gordon played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mathews, Martin, Sengun, Gordon, and Augustin played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wood, House, Porter, Brooks, and Martin played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wood, House, Mathews, Tate, and Gordon played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • House, Martin, Sengun, Gordon, and Augustin played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • House, Mathews, Tate, Sengun, and Gordon played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • House, Brooks, Martin, Sengun, and Augustin played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wood, House, Porter, Mathews, and Gordon played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Wood, House, Porter, Brooks, and Tate played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
13.697
75.9% of capacity
Toyota Center · Houston
Scoring
234
combined points
12.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 00:57.2
Wendell Carter Jr. → Christian Wood
Carter Jr. (ORL) blocks the shot attempt but Wood (HOU) is the last player to touch the ball before it goes out of bounds and it should be Magic possession.
Turnover: Lost Ball Out of Bounds · 01:38.0
Garrison Mathews → Magic
Mathews (HOU) is out of bounds when he makes contact with the loose ball and it should be Magic possession.