Win probability changed during the game. · 4 February 2022
It was more exciting than 67% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when CLE does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CLE
Mobley · Goodwin · Okoro · Allen · Wade
Closing lineup · CHA
Rozier · Bridges · Hayward · Oubre · Washington
Evan Mobley
38′ · +2
Brandon Goodwin
36′ · +9
Isaac Okoro
36′ · 0
Jarrett Allen
34′ · -5
Cedi Osman
15′ · -5
Kevin Love
26′ · +12
Rajon Rondo
17′ · -5
Dean Wade
32′ · +2
Lamar Stevens
6′ · -5
Terry Rozier
40′ · +6
Miles Bridges
37′ · -3
Mason Plumlee
32′ · -9
LaMelo Ball
32′ · -20
Gordon Hayward
29′ · -2
Kelly Oubre Jr.
28′ · +9
P.J. Washington
26′ · +13
Cody Martin
16′ · +1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CLE and CHA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Allen, Goodwin, Wade, Okoro, and Mobley played 11.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Osman, Allen, Goodwin, Okoro, and Mobley played 10.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Goodwin, Wade, Mobley, Rondo, and Love played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Charlotte Hornets
Rozier, Bridges, Ball, Hayward, and Plumlee played 17.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Bridges, Washington, and Hayward played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Bridges, Martin, and Washington played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Cleveland Cavaliers
Goodwin, Wade, Okoro, Mobley, and Love played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Allen, Goodwin, Wade, Okoro, and Love played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Allen, Wade, Stevens, Rondo, and Love played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Allen, Wade, Okoro, Rondo, and Love played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Wade, Stevens, Mobley, Rondo, and Love played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Osman, Stevens, Mobley, Rondo, and Love played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Osman, Allen, Okoro, Rondo, and Love played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Osman, Okoro, Mobley, Rondo, and Love played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Allen, Goodwin, Wade, Rondo, and Love played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Charlotte Hornets
Oubre, Martin, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Bridges, Ball, and Plumlee played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Oubre, Rozier, Bridges, Washington, and Plumlee played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Rozier, Martin, Washington, and Plumlee played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Oubre, Martin, Washington, Ball, and Plumlee played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Bridges, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

