SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 March 2022

DAL113–111BKN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 86% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BKN winsDAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BKN leads and falls when DAL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DAL

Luka Doncic
Jalen Brunson
Dorian Finney-Smith
Spencer Dinwiddie
Maxi Kleber

Doncic · Brunson · Finney-Smith · Dinwiddie · Kleber

Closing lineup · BKN

Kevin Durant
Bruce Brown
Goran Dragic
Nic Claxton
James Johnson

Durant · Brown · Dragic · Claxton · Johnson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
DAL
Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

39′ · -4

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

34′ · +7

Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

34′ · +10

Spencer Dinwiddie

Spencer Dinwiddie

33′ · -4

Dwight Powell

Dwight Powell

30′ · -5

Maxi Kleber

Maxi Kleber

30′ · +7

Josh Green

Josh Green

18′ · +2

Frank Ntilikina

Frank Ntilikina

3′ · 0

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

9′ · +6

Sterling Brown

Sterling Brown

9′ · -9

BKN
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

40′ · +2

Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown

39′ · +4

Goran Dragic

Goran Dragic

36′ · +3

Patty Mills

Patty Mills

36′ · -3

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

22′ · -11

Kessler Edwards

Kessler Edwards

20′ · -3

Nic Claxton

Nic Claxton

26′ · +9

James Johnson

James Johnson

16′ · -13

Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas

6′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DAL and BKN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Doncic, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 10.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Brunson, Doncic, and Powell played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Brunson, Doncic, and Dinwiddie played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Brown, Durant, Dragic, Mills, and Drummond played 9.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Claxton, Edwards, Durant, and Mills played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Claxton, Thomas, Dragic, Johnson, and Mills played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Dallas Mavericks

  • Brown, Kleber, Doncic, Green, and Dinwiddie played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Brunson, Bertans, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Ntilikina, Kleber, Doncic, and Green played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Brown, Brunson, Bertans, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Doncic, Green, and Powell played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kleber, Brunson, Doncic, Green, and Powell played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Kleber, Brunson, Bertans, and Dinwiddie played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Brunson, Doncic, and Green played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Kleber, Brunson, Green, Bertans, and Dinwiddie played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Kleber, Doncic, Green, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Finney-Smith, Kleber, Doncic, Green, and Dinwiddie played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kleber, Brunson, Doncic, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Brown, Claxton, Durant, Dragic, and Mills played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Brown, Edwards, Durant, Dragic, and Drummond played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Brown, Claxton, Edwards, Durant, and Dragic played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Brown, Claxton, Durant, Johnson, and Mills played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Edwards, Durant, Mills, and Drummond played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Edwards, Dragic, Johnson, Mills, and Drummond played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Edwards, Dragic, Johnson, and Drummond played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Durant, Dragic, Johnson, Mills, and Drummond played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brown, Durant, Dragic, Johnson, and Drummond played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.981
101.4% of capacity
Barclays Center · Brooklyn
Scoring
224
combined points
2.8 above the season average (221.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors