Sacramento Kings – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 2 November 2022

SAC107–110MIA

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 27 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when SAC does.

This is how the game was decided.

Tyler Herro decided it, the Miami Heat player with the most points (26, with 12 rebounds and 0 assists; +15 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Miami Heat 110-107 Sacramento Kings (November 2, 2022) was hit by Tyler Herro: a three-pointer with 2.5 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Miami Heat up 110-107. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 110-107 Sacramento Kings (November 2, 2022) was a 10-0 run by the Sacramento Kings in the fourth quarter (from 10:35 to 8:34), from 78-81 to 88-81. The Miami Heat' best was a 8-0 run in the second quarter (from 3:58 to 3:01), from 43-48 to 51-48.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Tyler Herro makes 27-foot three point shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Tyler Herro decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2.5 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 4 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Herro decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

2 November 2022 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468264:632; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Sabonis · Barnes · Mitchell · Dellavedova · Davis

Closing lineup · MIA

Herro · Lowry · Strus · Adebayo · Vincent

Q1Q2Q3Q4

SAC

Kevin Huerter

38′ · -1

Domantas Sabonis

37′ · -5

Harrison Barnes

35′ · -3

Davion Mitchell

29′ · -11

Keegan Murray

27′ · +7

Trey Lyles

13′ · -4

Malik Monk

22′ · +1

Matthew Dellavedova

20′ · +1

Richaun Holmes

11′ · +2

Terence Davis

8′ · -2

MIA

Tyler Herro

38′ · +13

Kyle Lowry

38′ · -7

Max Strus

33′ · -1

Bam Adebayo

32′ · +2

Caleb Martin

30′ · +5

Gabe Vincent

29′ · +8

Duncan Robinson

25′ · -8

Dewayne Dedmon

16′ · +1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 15.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Holmes, Monk, Huerter, Murray, and Dellavedova played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Sabonis, Monk, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Martin, Strus, Herro, and Lowry played 14.2 minutes together.
Martin, Robinson, Vincent, Herro, and Dedmon played 10.1 minutes together.
Adebayo, Vincent, Strus, Herro, and Lowry played 8.6 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Miami Heat lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Murray, and Dellavedova played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Lyles, Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, and Barnes played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Sabonis, Huerter, Davis, Mitchell, and Barnes played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Sabonis, Huerter, Davis, Barnes, and Dellavedova played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Holmes, Lyles, Monk, Murray, and Dellavedova played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Barnes, and Dellavedova played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Sabonis, Monk, Davis, Mitchell, and Barnes played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Holmes, Monk, Huerter, Barnes, and Dellavedova played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Robinson, Vincent, Strus, and Lowry played 7.1 minutes together.
Martin, Robinson, Herro, Lowry, and Dedmon played 2.8 minutes together.
Robinson, Vincent, Strus, Lowry, and Dedmon played 2.7 minutes together.
Adebayo, Martin, Robinson, Herro, and Lowry played 2.2 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

This is how the NBA's cameras measured the players in this game.

Kyle Lowry touched the ball 97 times, a game high.
Kyle Lowry made 73 passes, a game high.
Domantas Sabonis defended 8 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Domantas Sabonis had 19 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Sacramento Kings

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kevin Huerter	4.71	7.0	66	45
Domantas Sabonis	4.46	6.7	83	62
Harrison Barnes	4.36	7.0	54	41
Davion Mitchell	3.73	7.1	65	52
Keegan Murray	3.38	7.1	33	23
Malik Monk	2.70	6.9	47	29
Matthew Dellavedova	2.53	7.0	38	31
Trey Lyles	1.58	6.9	23	19
Richaun Holmes	1.24	6.4	7	5
Terence Davis	1.11	7.7	22	16

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tyler Herro	4.71	7.0	64	40
Max Strus	4.39	7.4	34	27
Kyle Lowry	4.12	6.1	97	73
Caleb Martin	3.99	7.7	32	23
Bam Adebayo	3.80	6.6	76	54

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis contested 9.5 shots per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 18 of 382 in the league.
Davion Mitchell drew 0.19 charges per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 23 of 382 in the league.
Trey Lyles drew 0.14 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 38 of 382 in the league.

Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry drew 0.24 charges per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 16 of 382 in the league.
Caleb Martin drew 0.23 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 17 of 382 in the league.
Bam Adebayo contested 7.4 shots per game over his 75 games.
He ranks 38 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 48 of their 75 games against the Sacramento Kings.

48-27record of the Miami Heat · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.600

100% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

217

combined points

12.4 below the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

32 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Traveling · 00:05

Tyler Herro → Kings

Herro (MIA) ends his dribble by gathering in the air and landing on both feet (although his left lands slightly before his right). When he moves his right foot, he establishes his left foot as his pivot foot, which he then lifts and replaces to the floor before taking his jump shot.