SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 18 November 2022

ORL108–107CHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsORL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when ORL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ORL

Jalen Suggs
Wendell Carter Jr.
Bol Bol
Chuma Okeke
Gary Harris

Suggs · Carter · Bol · Okeke · Harris

Closing lineup · CHI

DeMar DeRozan
Nikola Vucevic
Ayo Dosunmu
Alex Caruso
Javonte Green

DeRozan · Vucevic · Dosunmu · Caruso · Green

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ORL
Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs

35′ · -10

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

34′ · +13

Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

33′ · +11

Bol Bol

Bol Bol

31′ · +1

Chuma Okeke

Chuma Okeke

29′ · -12

Mo Bamba

Mo Bamba

24′ · -3

Terrence Ross

Terrence Ross

23′ · +8

Gary Harris

Gary Harris

24′ · +1

Admiral Schofield

Admiral Schofield

7′ · -4

CHI
DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

44′ · +13

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

33′ · +9

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

33′ · +4

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

25′ · -19

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

24′ · -5

Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso

23′ · -8

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

5′ · -10

Goran Dragic

Goran Dragic

16′ · +4

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

15′ · -10

Coby White

Coby White

4′ · 0

Javonte Green

Javonte Green

18′ · +17

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ORL and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Bol, Okeke, Wagner, and Suggs played 17.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bamba, Carter, Wagner, Ross, and Harris played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 15 points.

  • Bamba, Carter, Suggs, Ross, and Harris played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 9.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Green, Williams, Dragic, DeRozan, and Drummond played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • White, Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Schofield, Wagner, Ross, and Harris played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bamba, Bol, Okeke, Suggs, and Harris played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bamba, Bol, Okeke, Suggs, and Ross played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bamba, Okeke, Wagner, Ross, and Harris played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Carter, Bol, Wagner, Ross, and Harris played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bamba, Bol, Okeke, Wagner, and Suggs played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bamba, Bol, Okeke, Schofield, and Suggs played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bamba, Bol, Schofield, Suggs, and Ross played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Bamba, Schofield, Suggs, Ross, and Harris played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bamba, Okeke, Suggs, Ross, and Harris played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Chicago Bulls

  • Caruso, Williams, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Caruso, Green, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Green, Williams, DeRozan, Drummond, and LaVine played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Caruso, Dragic, Drummond, and LaVine played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Green, Williams, Dragic, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Caruso, Green, Dragic, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Caruso, Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Caruso, Dosunmu, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Caruso, Dragic, DeRozan, and Drummond played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Caruso, Williams, Dragic, Drummond, and LaVine played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Caruso, Green, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williams, Dosunmu, Dragic, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
21.031
100.5% of capacity
United Center · Chicago
Scoring
215
combined points
14.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 01:45
Bol Bol → Bulls
Bol (ORL) fails to fully clear the lane and is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.