SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 November 2022

IND116–115LAL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAL winsIND wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAL leads and falls when IND does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · IND

Myles Turner
Tyrese Haliburton
Buddy Hield
Bennedict Mathurin
Andrew Nembhard

Turner · Haliburton · Hield · Mathurin · Nembhard

Closing lineup · LAL

Anthony Davis
LeBron James
Dennis Schroder
Russell Westbrook
Austin Reaves

Davis · James · Schroder · Westbrook · Reaves

Q1Q2Q3Q4
IND
Myles Turner

Myles Turner

35′ · +3

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

35′ · +5

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

32′ · +3

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

24′ · +12

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

23′ · -10

Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

32′ · +7

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

13′ · -2

Isaiah Jackson

Isaiah Jackson

4′ · +1

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

29′ · 0

Oshae Brissett

Oshae Brissett

8′ · -3

Goga Bitadze

Goga Bitadze

3′ · -3

James Johnson

James Johnson

2′ · -8

LAL
Anthony Davis

Anthony Davis

37′ · -1

LeBron James

LeBron James

36′ · -7

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

30′ · -16

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

29′ · -3

Lonnie Walker IV

Lonnie Walker IV

22′ · -4

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

27′ · +1

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves

31′ · +6

Kendrick Nunn

Kendrick Nunn

11′ · +11

Wenyen Gabriel

Wenyen Gabriel

13′ · +5

Thomas Bryant

Thomas Bryant

3′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. IND and LAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Indiana Pacers

  • Turner, Hield, Haliburton, Nesmith, and Smith played 11.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Turner, Hield, Nembhard, Haliburton, and Mathurin played 8.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Turner, Hield, Haliburton, Smith, and Mathurin played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Brown, Walker, Davis, Schroder, and James played 13.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Schroder, and James played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Reaves, Westbrook, Davis, Schroder, and James played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Indiana Pacers

  • Nembhard, Nesmith, Smith, Mathurin, and McConnell played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Bitadze, Brissett, Nembhard, Mathurin, and McConnell played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Turner, Nembhard, Haliburton, Nesmith, and Mathurin played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Brissett, Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, and McConnell played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Turner, Hield, Nembhard, Haliburton, and Smith played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Turner, Hield, Nembhard, Haliburton, and Nesmith played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Turner, Hield, Brissett, Haliburton, and Mathurin played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Nembhard, Nesmith, Mathurin, Johnson, and McConnell played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Brown, Nunn, Reaves, Westbrook, and Davis played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bryant, Gabriel, Nunn, Reaves, and Westbrook played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Gabriel, Reaves, Westbrook, and James played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, Davis, and James played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Westbrook, Davis, Schroder, and James played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Walker, Reaves, Davis, Schroder, and James played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Walker, Reaves, Westbrook, Davis, and Schroder played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Gabriel, Nunn, Reaves, Westbrook, and Davis played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Nunn, Reaves, Westbrook, Davis, and James played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Walker, Nunn, Reaves, Westbrook, and Davis played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.034
84.4% of capacity
Crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles
Scoring
231
combined points
1.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

19 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 01:54.1
Buddy Hield → Anthony Davis
Hield (IND) extends an arm into Davis's (LAL) path and initiates contact to his head that affects his FOM.