Milwaukee Bucks – Dallas Mavericks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 December 2022

MIL106–105DAL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 93% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 28 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when MIL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Giannis Antetokounmpo decided it, the Milwaukee Bucks player with the most points (28, with 10 rebounds and 3 assists; -2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was George Hill's (+9). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Dallas Mavericks 105-106 Milwaukee Bucks (December 9, 2022) was hit by Brook Lopez: a dunk with 7.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Milwaukee Bucks up 106-105. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Dallas Mavericks 105-106 Milwaukee Bucks (December 9, 2022) was a 10-0 run by the Milwaukee Bucks in the second quarter (from 4:06 to 1:26), from 40-46 to 50-46. The Dallas Mavericks' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 8:12 to 7:02), from 10-11 to 18-11.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Brook Lopez makes alley oop layup (George Hill assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Brook Lopez decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 5 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Lopez decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

9 December 2022 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468541:691; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIL

Holiday · Allen · Middleton · Lopez · Hill

Closing lineup · DAL

Doncic · Dinwiddie · Hardaway · Finney-Smith · Wood

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIL

Jrue Holiday

37′ · -5

Giannis Antetokounmpo

35′ · -2

Grayson Allen

33′ · -3

Khris Middleton

31′ · +6

Brook Lopez

29′ · -6

Bobby Portis

16′ · +1

Jevon Carter

12′ · -4

Pat Connaughton

25′ · +9

George Hill

21′ · +9

DAL

Luka Doncic

37′ · +6

Spencer Dinwiddie

32′ · +1

Tim Hardaway Jr.

28′ · +2

Dorian Finney-Smith

28′ · 0

Dwight Powell

19′ · -2

Josh Green

26′ · -12

Christian Wood

23′ · +2

Maxi Kleber

28′ · +1

Reggie Bullock Jr.

19′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIL and DAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Milwaukee Bucks

Allen, Lopez, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 9.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Connaughton, Allen, Hill, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 8.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Portis, Allen, Carter, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 5.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Dallas Mavericks

Finney-Smith, Doncic, Hardaway, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 14.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Wood, Kleber, Green, Bullock, and Dinwiddie played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Wood, Kleber, Doncic, Green, and Bullock played 7.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Milwaukee Bucks

Allen, Lopez, Hill, Holiday, and Middleton played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Connaughton, Lopez, Holiday, and Middleton played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Carter, Lopez, and Holiday played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Connaughton, Hill, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Lopez, Hill, and Holiday played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Connaughton, Allen, Hill, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Allen, Carter, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Portis, Connaughton, Allen, Lopez, and Holiday played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Allen, Carter, Lopez, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Lopez, Hill, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Connaughton, Lopez, Hill, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Connaughton, Carter, Lopez, Holiday, and Antetokounmpo played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Connaughton, Lopez, Hill, and Middleton played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Dallas Mavericks

Finney-Smith, Doncic, Green, Hardaway, and Powell played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Finney-Smith, Kleber, Doncic, Hardaway, and Dinwiddie played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Wood, Finney-Smith, Kleber, Doncic, and Hardaway played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Finney-Smith, Kleber, Doncic, Green, and Dinwiddie played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Grayson Allen covered 4.07 km, more than anyone in the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo touched the ball 89 times, a game high.
Jrue Holiday made 58 passes, a game high.
Brook Lopez defended 10 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Giannis Antetokounmpo had 18 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Grayson Allen	4.07	6.8	49	37
Jrue Holiday	4.05	6.2	77	58
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3.97	6.3	89	56
Khris Middleton	3.52	6.2	63	42
Brook Lopez	3.28	6.3	28	20
Pat Connaughton	3.15	7.1	25	16
George Hill	2.37	6.2	30	26
Bobby Portis Jr.	1.96	6.7	36	23
Jevon Carter	1.46	6.9	21	17

Dallas Mavericks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Luka Dončić	3.88	6.0	86	48
Spencer Dinwiddie	3.60	6.3	50	30
Josh Green	3.56	7.6	26	18
Dorian Finney-Smith	3.27	6.4	38	31
Tim Hardaway Jr.	3.20	6.4	37

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez contested 17.4 shots per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 1 of 382 in the league.
Giannis Antetokounmpo defended 4.7 shots at the rim per game over his 62 games, and opponents made 17 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 1 of 149 in the league.
Jrue Holiday deflected 2.5 passes per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 26 of 382 in the league.

Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. drew 0.30 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 9 of 382 in the league.
Luka Dončić deflected 2.9 passes per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 13 of 382 in the league.
Maxi Kleber contested 9.5 shots per game over his 37 games.
He ranks 19 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Dallas Mavericks have won 39 of their 89 games against the Milwaukee Bucks.

39-50record of the Dallas Mavericks · NBA 1980-81 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1980-81 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

20.277

105.6% of capacity

American Airlines Center · Dallas

Scoring

211

combined points

18.4 below the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

34 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Loose Ball · 00:10.7

Brook Lopez → Maxi Kleber

Lopez (MIL) clamps and holds Kleber's (DAL) left arm during the rebound and the contact impairs Kleber's range of motion during the rebounding opportunity.

Turnover: Out of Bounds · 00:13.0

Dorian Finney-Smith → Bucks

Finney-Smith (DAL) does not fully reestablish himself in the court of play before coming into contact with the ball. Possession should have been awarded to Milwaukee.

Turnover: Palming · 00:35.3

Luka Doncic → Bucks

Doncic (DAL) brings his left hand underneath the ball, bringing his live dribble to a brief pause.