SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 January 2023

SAC117–115UTA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Domantas Sabonis
De'Aaron Fox
Harrison Barnes
Keegan Murray
Kevin Huerter

Sabonis · Fox · Barnes · Murray · Huerter

Closing lineup · UTA

Lauri Markkanen
Jordan Clarkson
Mike Conley
Kelly Olynyk
Jarred Vanderbilt

Markkanen · Clarkson · Conley · Olynyk · Vanderbilt

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis

39′ · +21

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

38′ · -6

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

37′ · +4

Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

37′ · +19

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

32′ · +18

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

18′ · -14

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

15′ · -6

Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes

9′ · -13

Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles

9′ · -12

KZ Okpala

KZ Okpala

7′ · -1

UTA
Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

36′ · -6

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

35′ · -15

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

33′ · +11

Kelly Olynyk

Kelly Olynyk

28′ · -5

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

25′ · +2

Walker Kessler

Walker Kessler

17′ · -5

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

15′ · -13

Rudy Gay

Rudy Gay

13′ · +3

Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley

31′ · +12

Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji

7′ · +6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and UTA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Murray, and Barnes played 23.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 7.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Holmes, Lyles, Fox, Monk, and Mitchell played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Utah Jazz

  • Markkanen, Vanderbilt, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 13.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Vanderbilt, Conley, and Clarkson played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Beasley, Agbaji, Kessler, Gay, and Conley played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Holmes, Lyles, Fox, Monk, and Okpala played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Okpala, and Murray played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Monk, Mitchell, and Barnes played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Okpala, and Murray played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Utah Jazz

  • Beasley, Kessler, Gay, Conley, and Clarkson played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Kessler, Gay, and Conley played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Alexander-Walker, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Beasley, Vanderbilt, Alexander-Walker, Agbaji, and Olynyk played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Markkanen, Alexander-Walker, Kessler, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Vanderbilt, Alexander-Walker, and Olynyk played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Alexander-Walker, Kessler, and Gay played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Beasley, Markkanen, Vanderbilt, Alexander-Walker, and Clarkson played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Beasley, Kessler, Conley, Olynyk, and Clarkson played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Markkanen, Alexander-Walker, Kessler, Gay, and Clarkson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Beasley, Vanderbilt, Agbaji, Conley, and Olynyk played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.206
99.5% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
232
combined points
2.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Jump Ball Violation · 01:46.6
Lauri Markkanen → Keegan Murray
Markkanen (UTA) and Murray (SAC) both come together as they pursue the loose ball and briefly become tangled up with neither having control of the ball.