Brooklyn Nets – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 January 2023

BKN102–101MIA

Is it worth watching?

The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsBKN wins ↓

The last point of this curve falls on MIA's side, but BKN won 102-101. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when BKN does.

This is how the game was decided.

Kyrie Irving decided it, the Brooklyn Nets player with the most points (29, with 1 rebounds and 6 assists; +7 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Ben Simmons's (+8). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Miami Heat 101-102 Brooklyn Nets (January 8, 2023) was hit by Royce O'Neale: a jump shot with 3.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Brooklyn Nets up 102-101. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 101-102 Brooklyn Nets (January 8, 2023) was a 8-0 run by the Miami Heat in the fourth quarter (from 11:03 to 9:24), from 82-81 to 90-81. The Brooklyn Nets' best was a 6-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 8:56 to 7:52), from 81-90 to 87-90.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Royce O'Neale makes 4-foot two point shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Royce O'Neale decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 3 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games O'Neale decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

8 January 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468754:640; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Irving · O'Neale · Claxton · Simmons · Watanabe

Closing lineup · MIA

Herro · Butler · Lowry · Oladipo · Strus

Q1Q2Q3Q4

BKN

Kyrie Irving

40′ · +7

Royce O'Neale

35′ · +5

Nic Claxton

31′ · -3

Kevin Durant

30′ · -2

Ben Simmons

29′ · +8

T.J. Warren

18′ · -16

Seth Curry

24′ · -4

Yuta Watanabe

19′ · +4

Joe Harris

13′ · +6

MIA

Tyler Herro

38′ · -8

Jimmy Butler III

34′ · -3

Kyle Lowry

31′ · +4

Bam Adebayo

28′ · -25

Haywood Highsmith

18′ · -14

Victor Oladipo

27′ · +8

Max Strus

27′ · +11

Orlando Robinson

20′ · +24

Gabe Vincent

18′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

O'Neale, Simmons, Claxton, Durant, and Irving played 10.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Simmons, Claxton, Durant, Irving, and Warren played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
O'Neale, Watanabe, Claxton, Irving, and Curry played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Highsmith, Herro, Lowry, and Butler played 13.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Adebayo, Vincent, Strus, Herro, and Oladipo played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Strus, Robinson, Lowry, Butler, and Oladipo played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

Simmons, Watanabe, Durant, Curry, and Warren played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
O'Neale, Simmons, Watanabe, Irving, and Curry played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
O'Neale, Simmons, Irving, Curry, and Harris played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Watanabe, Durant, Irving, Harris, and Warren played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
O'Neale, Claxton, Irving, Curry, and Harris played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
O'Neale, Claxton, Durant, Irving, and Curry played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
O'Neale, Claxton, Irving, Harris, and Warren played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
O'Neale, Watanabe, Durant, Curry, and Warren played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
O'Neale, Simmons, Durant, Curry, and Harris played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
O'Neale, Watanabe, Claxton, Irving, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Miami Heat

Herro, Robinson, Lowry, Butler, and Oladipo played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Adebayo, Vincent, Highsmith, Strus, and Herro played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Vincent, Strus, Herro, Robinson, and Oladipo played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Strus, Herro, Robinson, Lowry, and Butler played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Vincent, Strus, Robinson, Butler, and Oladipo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Adebayo, Herro, Lowry, Butler, and Oladipo played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Adebayo, Vincent, Strus, Butler, and Oladipo played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

This is how the NBA's cameras measured the players in this game.

Kyrie Irving touched the ball 79 times, a game high.
Royce O'Neale made 54 passes, a game high.
Nic Claxton had 22 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Brooklyn Nets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kyrie Irving	4.41	6.1	79	53
Royce O'Neale	3.91	6.2	68	54
Nic Claxton	3.56	6.5	40	29
Ben Simmons	3.22	6.1	57	51
Kevin Durant	3.12	5.8	56	30
Seth Curry	2.78	6.3	45	32
Yuta Watanabe	2.22	6.5	14	11
T.J. Warren	2.09	6.5	28	16
Joe Harris	1.64	6.9	10	7

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tyler Herro	4.41	6.5	71	43
Jimmy Butler III	3.91	6.4	58	30
Max Strus	3.22	6.8	31	24
Bam Adebayo	3.20	6.3	41	22
Kyle Lowry	3.09	5.6	59	46

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Brooklyn Nets

Nic Claxton contested 12.1 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 2 of 382 in the league.
Kyrie Irving recovered 1.0 loose balls per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 4 of 382 in the league.
Ben Simmons deflected 2.6 passes per game over his 42 games.
He ranks 22 of 382 in the league.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler III deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 64 games.
He ranks 10 of 382 in the league.
Kyle Lowry drew 0.24 charges per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 16 of 382 in the league.
Victor Oladipo drew 0.21 charges per game over his 42 games.
He ranks 18 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 33 of their 54 games against the Brooklyn Nets.

33-21record of the Miami Heat · NBA 2012-13 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

3-0in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2012-13 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.901

101.5% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

203

combined points

26.4 below the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

31 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Loose Ball · 00:05.6

Kyle Lowry → Yuta Watanabe

Lowry (MIA) initiates contact to Watanabe's (BKN) arm and the contact affects his ability to gather the loose ball.