Charlotte Hornets – Atlanta Hawks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 January 2023

CHA122–118ATL

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Recommended

It was more exciting than 67% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when CHA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Terry Rozier decided it, the Charlotte Hornets player with the most points (34, with 3 rebounds and 5 assists; +1 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Jalen McDaniels's (+14). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Atlanta Hawks 118-122 Charlotte Hornets (January 21, 2023) was hit by Terry Rozier: a free throw with 1.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Charlotte Hornets up 119-118. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Atlanta Hawks 118-122 Charlotte Hornets (January 21, 2023) was a 7-0 run by the Atlanta Hawks in the first quarter (from 11:09 to 9:24), from 0-5 to 7-5. The Charlotte Hornets' best was a 7-0 run in the third quarter (from 10:38 to 9:39), from 51-70 to 58-70.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Terry Rozier makes free throw 2 of 3.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Terry Rozier decided this game: his points put his team ahead with one second left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 4 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Rozier decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

21 January 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468849:622; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Rozier · Washington · Plumlee · Hayward · McDaniels

Closing lineup · ATL

Young · Murray · Hunter · Capela · Griffin

Q1Q2Q3Q4

CHA

Terry Rozier

39′ · +1

P.J. Washington

37′ · +11

Mason Plumlee

29′ · +10

Gordon Hayward

25′ · +11

Jalen McDaniels

24′ · +14

Dennis Smith Jr.

27′ · -2

Bryce McGowens

26′ · -10

Mark Williams

19′ · -6

JT Thor

13′ · -9

ATL

Trae Young

38′ · +8

Dejounte Murray

37′ · -10

De'Andre Hunter

37′ · -7

John Collins

33′ · -9

Clint Capela

24′ · +8

Onyeka Okongwu

24′ · -12

Aaron Holiday

15′ · -1

AJ Griffin

23′ · 0

Jalen Johnson

9′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and ATL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, Hayward, and Plumlee played 15.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Rozier, Smith, Thor, Williams, and McGowens played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Rozier, Smith, Washington, McGowens, and Plumlee played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Atlanta Hawks

Murray, Collins, Young, Hunter, and Capela played 18.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Holiday, Young, Okongwu, Johnson, and Griffin played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Murray, Young, Hunter, Griffin, and Capela played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

Smith, Washington, Thor, Williams, and McGowens played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Rozier, Smith, Washington, McDaniels, and Plumlee played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Smith, Washington, McDaniels, Williams, and Hayward played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Smith, Washington, McDaniels, Williams, and McGowens played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Rozier, Washington, Williams, McGowens, and Hayward played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Smith, Washington, Williams, McGowens, and Hayward played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Rozier, Thor, McGowens, Hayward, and Plumlee played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Smith, Washington, Hayward, and Plumlee played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, McGowens, and Plumlee played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Rozier, Smith, Thor, McGowens, and Plumlee played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Atlanta Hawks

Murray, Collins, Young, Hunter, and Okongwu played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Murray, Collins, Holiday, Okongwu, and Griffin played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Murray, Hunter, Okongwu, Johnson, and Griffin played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Young, Hunter, Okongwu, and Griffin played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Collins, Holiday, Young, Okongwu, and Griffin played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Collins, Young, Hunter, Griffin, and Capela played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Murray, Collins, Holiday, Hunter, and Okongwu played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Holiday, Okongwu, Johnson, and Griffin played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Murray, Collins, Hunter, Okongwu, and Griffin played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Collins, Holiday, Young, Hunter, and Okongwu played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Terry Rozier covered 4.83 km, more than anyone in the game.

Terry Rozier touched the ball 99 times, a game high.
Terry Rozier made 66 passes, a game high.
Mason Plumlee had 19 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Charlotte Hornets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Terry Rozier	4.83	7.0	99	66
P.J. Washington	4.31	6.5	57	42
Mason Plumlee	3.54	6.8	58	38
Dennis Smith Jr.	3.19	6.6	63	49
Jalen McDaniels	3.14	7.3	30	22
Bryce McGowens	3.12	6.7	24	16
Gordon Hayward	3.09	7.0	37	27
Mark Williams	2.20	6.7	21	13
JT Thor	1.72	7.1	17	14

Atlanta Hawks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Trae Young	4.30	6.4	79	42
Dejounte Murray	4.28	6.5	69	46
De'Andre Hunter	4.18	6.4	42	22
John Collins	3.77	6.4	45	33
AJ Griffin	3.04	7.2	29

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Charlotte Hornets

Dennis Smith Jr. deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 20 of 382 in the league.
Terry Rozier recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 25 of 382 in the league.
P.J. Washington contested 7.1 shots per game over his 73 games.
He ranks 42 of 382 in the league.

Atlanta Hawks

Dejounte Murray deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 9 of 382 in the league.
Clint Capela drew 0.25 charges per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 15 of 382 in the league.
John Collins drew 0.20 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 21 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Atlanta Hawks have won 42 of their 85 games against the Charlotte Hornets.

42-43record of the Atlanta Hawks · NBA 2004-05 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-3in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2004-05 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

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Game context

Attendance

17.928

105.2% of capacity

State Farm Arena · Atlanta

Scoring

240

combined points

10.6 above the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:01.1

Jalen Johnson → Terry Rozier

Johnson (ATL) legally contests Rozier's (CHA) jump shot attempt. Any "high-five" contact after the release is considered incidental.

Foul: Shooting · 01:16.4

Jalen McDaniels → Clint Capela

McDaniels (CHA) absorbs the marginal body contact that occurs with Capela (ATL) during the shot attempt near the basket and avoids making arm contact during the contest.