Washington Wizards – Dallas Mavericks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 24 January 2023

WAS127–126DAL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsWAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when WAS does.

This is how the game was decided.

Kyle Kuzma decided it, the Washington Wizards player with the most points (30, with 5 rebounds and 2 assists; +8 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Dallas Mavericks 126-127 Washington Wizards (January 24, 2023) was hit by Kyle Kuzma: a free throw with 5.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Washington Wizards up 127-126. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Dallas Mavericks 126-127 Washington Wizards (January 24, 2023) was a 10-0 run by the Dallas Mavericks in the second quarter (from 11:10 to 9:49), from 30-34 to 40-34. The Washington Wizards' best was a 8-0 run in the second quarter (from 1:04 to 0.1 s), from 57-60 to 65-60.

What were the keys of the last Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Kyle Kuzma makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Kyle Kuzma decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 5 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 5 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Kuzma decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

24 January 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401468872:689; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · WAS

Kuzma · Beal · Avdija · Gill · Wright

Closing lineup · DAL

Doncic · Dinwiddie · Hardaway · Powell · Green

Q1Q2Q3Q4

WAS

Kyle Kuzma

37′ · +8

Corey Kispert

34′ · -8

Bradley Beal

30′ · -2

Monte Morris

27′ · +3

Daniel Gafford

19′ · +1

Deni Avdija

32′ · +4

Anthony Gill

19′ · -1

Delon Wright

22′ · -3

Will Barton

15′ · 0

Taj Gibson

6′ · +3

DAL

Luka Doncic

38′ · -2

Spencer Dinwiddie

35′ · +16

Tim Hardaway Jr.

34′ · -6

Dwight Powell

34′ · 0

Dorian Finney-Smith

31′ · -11

Reggie Bullock Jr.

24′ · -14

Josh Green

32′ · +7

Davis Bertans

13′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. WAS and DAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Washington Wizards

Wright, Kuzma, Avdija, Gill, and Barton played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Kuzma, Morris, Gafford, Kispert, and Beal played 8.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Morris, Avdija, Gill, Kispert, and Beal played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Dallas Mavericks

Finney-Smith, Doncic, Hardaway, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Green, Bertans, Bullock, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 7.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Green, Hardaway, and Dinwiddie played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Washington Wizards

Wright, Kuzma, Kispert, Gibson, and Barton played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Kuzma, Morris, Avdija, Kispert, and Beal played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Morris, Gafford, Avdija, Kispert, and Beal played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Wright, Kuzma, Gafford, Avdija, and Kispert played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Kuzma, Morris, Gill, Kispert, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Wright, Kuzma, Gafford, Avdija, and Barton played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Kuzma, Morris, Gafford, Avdija, and Beal played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Wright, Avdija, Gill, Kispert, and Beal played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Morris, Avdija, Kispert, Gibson, and Beal played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Dallas Mavericks

Doncic, Green, Hardaway, Dinwiddie, and Powell played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Doncic, Green, Bullock, Hardaway, and Powell played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Finney-Smith, Green, Bertans, Bullock, and Dinwiddie played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Green, Hardaway, and Powell played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Bullock, Hardaway, and Powell played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Doncic, Green, Bertans, Bullock, and Powell played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Green, Bullock, and Hardaway played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Bullock, Hardaway, and Dinwiddie played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Finney-Smith, Doncic, Green, Bullock, and Dinwiddie played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Kyle Kuzma covered 4.41 km, more than anyone in the game.

Luka Dončić touched the ball 93 times, a game high.
Luka Dončić made 52 passes, a game high.
Dwight Powell defended 10 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 6.
Luka Dončić had 22 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Washington Wizards

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kyle Kuzma	4.41	6.5	66	35
Corey Kispert	4.26	7.1	37	22
Deni Avdija	3.85	6.5	50	36
Bradley Beal	3.64	6.7	51	29
Monte Morris	3.25	6.6	55	44
Delon Wright	2.62	6.6	51	42
Anthony Gill	2.56	7.3	16	12
Daniel Gafford	2.30	6.9	34	28
Will Barton	1.93	7.0	25	19
Taj Gibson	0.76	7.4	6	4

Dallas Mavericks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Dwight Powell	4.33	7.0	46	30
Josh Green	4.14	7.1	39	28
Luka Dončić	4.05	5.9	93	52
Tim Hardaway Jr.	3.91	6.4	46	34
Spencer Dinwiddie	3.86	6.2	64

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2022-23 regular season, not this game.

Washington Wizards

Delon Wright deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 8 of 382 in the league.
Daniel Gafford defended 5.9 shots at the rim per game over his 78 games, and opponents made 10 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 10 of 149 in the league.
Deni Avdija recovered 0.7 loose balls per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 58 of 382 in the league.

Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. drew 0.30 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 9 of 382 in the league.
Luka Dončić deflected 2.9 passes per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 13 of 382 in the league.
Dwight Powell contested 7.4 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 37 of 382 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

20.077

104.6% of capacity

American Airlines Center · Dallas

Scoring

253

combined points

23.6 above the season average (229.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

17 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:47.2

Josh Green → Deni Avdija

Green (DAL) establishes himself in Avdija's (WAS) path before Avdija has started his upward motion, and since Avdija slips most of the contact, a no call would have been the best outcome.