SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 25 February 2023

BOS110–107PHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Jaylen Brown
Jayson Tatum
Al Horford
Marcus Smart
Derrick White

Brown · Tatum · Horford · Smart · White

Closing lineup · PHI

James Harden
Joel Embiid
Tobias Harris
P.J. Tucker
De'Anthony Melton

Harden · Embiid · Harris · Tucker · Melton

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

37′ · -6

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

36′ · -6

Al Horford

Al Horford

32′ · -12

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

31′ · +10

Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart

26′ · -22

Derrick White

Derrick White

25′ · +25

Grant Williams

Grant Williams

29′ · +9

Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon

21′ · +18

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

2′ · -1

PHI
James Harden

James Harden

41′ · +9

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

40′ · +8

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

38′ · +18

P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker

38′ · +21

De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

25′ · +3

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

25′ · -11

Jalen McDaniels

Jalen McDaniels

15′ · -23

Georges Niang

Georges Niang

13′ · -22

Paul Reed

Paul Reed

5′ · -14

Shake Milton

Shake Milton

2′ · -4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and PHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Smart played 12.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Brown, Brogdon, White, Williams, and Williams played 9.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Smart played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Melton, Tucker, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 22.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Maxey, Tucker, Harden, Harris, and Embiid played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Niang, McDaniels, Maxey, Reed, and Harden played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Brogdon, Tatum, White, Williams, and Williams played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Williams, and Horford played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brogdon, Tatum, White, Williams, and Horford played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brogdon, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Smart played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Tatum, White, Williams, Horford, and Smart played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Brown, Brogdon, White, Williams, and Hauser played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Horford, and Smart played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Niang, McDaniels, Maxey, Harris, and Embiid played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • McDaniels, Maxey, Tucker, Harden, and Harris played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Niang, Milton, McDaniels, Maxey, and Embiid played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Niang, McDaniels, Maxey, Tucker, and Harden played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
20.993
104.9% of capacity
Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia
Scoring
217
combined points
12.4 below the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:24.0
Tobias Harris → Jayson Tatum
Harris (PHI) contests the shot and initiates contact with Tatum's (BOS) body, affecting the jump shot attempt.
Turnover: Traveling · 01:41.0
Jayson Tatum → 76ers
Tatum (BOS) slides his pivot foot at the start of his dribble.