SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 March 2023

LAC127–128SAC
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 78% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAC winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAC leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Nicolas Batum
Russell Westbrook
Paul George
Eric Gordon
Robert Covington

Batum · Westbrook · George · Gordon · Covington

Closing lineup · SAC

Harrison Barnes
Domantas Sabonis
De'Aaron Fox
Davion Mitchell
Trey Lyles

Barnes · Sabonis · Fox · Mitchell · Lyles

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

37′ · +9

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

36′ · +10

Paul George

Paul George

34′ · +6

Eric Gordon

Eric Gordon

30′ · +16

Mason Plumlee

Mason Plumlee

26′ · +1

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

22′ · -20

Robert Covington

Robert Covington

31′ · -5

Amir Coffey

Amir Coffey

13′ · -11

Bones Hyland

Bones Hyland

12′ · -11

SAC
Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

37′ · -5

Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis

35′ · -6

De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

34′ · -13

Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

33′ · -3

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

22′ · -10

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

7′ · -2

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

23′ · +13

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

14′ · +12

Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles

22′ · +10

Chimezie Metu

Chimezie Metu

13′ · +9

PJ Dozier

PJ Dozier

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and SAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Westbrook, Gordon, Batum, George, and Plumlee played 16.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Westbrook, Gordon, Batum, George, and Covington played 9.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Coffey, Mann, Hyland, Batum, and Covington played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Murray, and Barnes played 14.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.

  • Lyles, Fox, Monk, Metu, and Barnes played 12.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Mitchell, and Murray played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Coffey, Mann, Hyland, Plumlee, and Covington played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mann, Westbrook, Batum, George, and Covington played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mann, Westbrook, Gordon, George, and Covington played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Mann, Westbrook, George, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mann, Hyland, Westbrook, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Mann, Westbrook, Gordon, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Coffey, Mann, Batum, George, and Covington played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Sabonis, Fox, Davis, Murray, and Barnes played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Sabonis, Monk, Davis, Mitchell, and Murray played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, and Murray played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Huerter, and Mitchell played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.111
102.8% of capacity
Golden 1 Center · Sacramento
Scoring
255
combined points
25.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: 8 Second Violation · 00:18.6
Clippers → Kings
LAC does not establish the ball in the frontcourt within 8 seconds.
Foul: Shooting · 01:20.2
De'Aaron Fox → Russell Westbrook
Fox (SAC) grabs Westbrook's (LAC) arm prior to his gather and the contact affects his SQBR. The contact should be deemed a non-shooting foul.
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 01:38.3
Russell Westbrook → De'Aaron Fox
Fox (SAC) is the last player to touch the ball before it goes out of bounds and LAC should have been given possession.
Foul: Personal · 01:40
Russell Westbrook → De'Aaron Fox
Westbrook (LAC) initiates contact to Fox's (SAC) wrist and causes him to lose control of the ball.