Win probability changed during the game. · 3 March 2023
It was more exciting than 78% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAC leads and falls when LAC does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAC
Batum · Westbrook · George · Gordon · Covington
Closing lineup · SAC
Barnes · Sabonis · Fox · Mitchell · Lyles
Nicolas Batum
37′ · +9
Russell Westbrook
36′ · +10
Paul George
34′ · +6
Eric Gordon
30′ · +16
Mason Plumlee
26′ · +1
Terance Mann
22′ · -20
Robert Covington
31′ · -5
Amir Coffey
13′ · -11
Bones Hyland
12′ · -11
Harrison Barnes
37′ · -5
Domantas Sabonis
35′ · -6
De'Aaron Fox
34′ · -13
Keegan Murray
33′ · -3
Kevin Huerter
22′ · -10
Terence Davis
7′ · -2
Malik Monk
23′ · +13
Davion Mitchell
14′ · +12
Trey Lyles
22′ · +10
Chimezie Metu
13′ · +9
PJ Dozier
0′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and SAC.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
LA Clippers
Westbrook, Gordon, Batum, George, and Plumlee played 16.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Westbrook, Gordon, Batum, George, and Covington played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Coffey, Mann, Hyland, Batum, and Covington played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Sacramento Kings
Sabonis, Fox, Huerter, Murray, and Barnes played 14.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.
Lyles, Fox, Monk, Metu, and Barnes played 12.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Mitchell, and Murray played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
LA Clippers
Coffey, Mann, Hyland, Plumlee, and Covington played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Mann, Westbrook, Batum, George, and Covington played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Mann, Westbrook, Gordon, George, and Covington played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Mann, Westbrook, George, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Mann, Hyland, Westbrook, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Mann, Westbrook, Gordon, Plumlee, and Covington played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Coffey, Mann, Batum, George, and Covington played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Sacramento Kings
Sabonis, Fox, Davis, Murray, and Barnes played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, Murray, and Barnes played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Sabonis, Monk, Davis, Mitchell, and Murray played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Lyles, Sabonis, Huerter, Mitchell, and Murray played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Lyles, Sabonis, Monk, Huerter, and Mitchell played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

