Toronto Raptors – Chicago Bulls · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 October 2023

TOR103–104CHI

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 21 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsTOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

DeMar DeRozan decided it, the Chicago Bulls player with the most points (33, with 4 rebounds and 3 assists; 0 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Alex Caruso's (+29). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Chicago Bulls 104-103 Toronto Raptors (October 27, 2023) was hit by Alex Caruso: a three-pointer with 2.1 s left in overtime, putting the Chicago Bulls up 104-103. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Chicago Bulls 104-103 Toronto Raptors (October 27, 2023) was a 25-0 run by the Toronto Raptors between the second quarter and the third quarter, from 23-42 to 48-42. The Chicago Bulls' best was a 20-0 run in the first quarter (from 5:41 to 9.0 s), from 4-16 to 24-16.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Alex Caruso makes 23-foot three point jumper (Zach LaVine assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Alex Caruso decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2.1 seconds left in overtime 1, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Caruso decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

27 October 2023 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401584710:778; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · TOR

Siakam · Barnes · Schroder · Trent · Boucher

Closing lineup · CHI

DeRozan · Vucevic · LaVine · Caruso · Craig

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TOR

Pascal Siakam

41′ · -2

Scottie Barnes

39′ · +15

Dennis Schroder

35′ · -6

OG Anunoby

28′ · +28

Jakob Poeltl

19′ · +20

Gary Trent Jr.

36′ · -15

Jalen McDaniels

18′ · -27

Malachi Flynn

4′ · -14

Precious Achiuwa

23′ · -22

Gradey Dick

6′ · -6

Chris Boucher

17′ · +22

CHI

DeMar DeRozan

41′ · 0

Nikola Vucevic

40′ · +2

Coby White

40′ · -1

Zach LaVine

38′ · -23

Patrick Williams

13′ · -7

Alex Caruso

32′ · +29

Torrey Craig

24′ · -6

Jevon Carter

13′ · +2

Andre Drummond

12′ · +1

Ayo Dosunmu

11′ · +10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. TOR and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Toronto Raptors

Poeltl, Siakam, Anunoby, Barnes, and Schroder played 10.3 minutes together.
Siakam, Boucher, Trent, Barnes, and Schroder played 5.2 minutes together.
Siakam, Anunoby, Trent, Achiuwa, and Schroder played 4.0 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Toronto Raptors lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Chicago Bulls

Caruso, White, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 12.1 minutes together.
Caruso, Craig, White, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 9.5 minutes together.
White, Williams, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 9.2 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Toronto Raptors

Siakam, Anunoby, Boucher, Trent, and Barnes played 3.8 minutes together.
Boucher, Trent, McDaniels, Achiuwa, and Barnes played 3.4 minutes together.
Poeltl, Anunoby, McDaniels, Dick, and Schroder played 3.4 minutes together.
Siakam, Trent, Achiuwa, Barnes, and Schroder played 3.1 minutes together.
Siakam, Trent, McDaniels, Achiuwa, and Barnes played 2.5 minutes together.
Siakam, Trent, McDaniels, Barnes, and Schroder played 2.5 minutes together.
Trent, McDaniels, Achiuwa, Flynn, and Barnes played 2.4 minutes together.
Siakam, Anunoby, Achiuwa, Dick, and Schroder played 2.4 minutes together.
Siakam, Trent, McDaniels, Achiuwa, and Flynn played 1.7 minutes together.
Anunoby, Boucher, Trent, Achiuwa, and Barnes played 1.5 minutes together.
Poeltl, Siakam, Trent, Barnes, and Schroder played 1.4 minutes together.
Poeltl, Siakam, Boucher, Trent, and Schroder played 1.3 minutes together.
Poeltl, Siakam, Anunoby, Trent, and Schroder played 1.1 minutes together.
Poeltl, Siakam, Boucher, Trent, and Barnes played 1.0 minutes together.
Anunoby, Trent, McDaniels, Achiuwa, and Barnes played 1.0 minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

Caruso, Craig, Carter, Drummond, and LaVine played 4.8 minutes together.
Craig, White, DeRozan, Vucevic, and LaVine played 4.6 minutes together.
White, Williams, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 4.0 minutes together.
Caruso, Carter, Dosunmu, Drummond, and LaVine played 3.2 minutes together.
Craig, Carter, Dosunmu, Drummond, and LaVine played 2.9 minutes together.
Caruso, Craig, Carter, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Pascal Siakam covered 4.99 km, more than anyone in the game.

Dennis Schröder touched the ball 94 times, a game high.
Dennis Schröder made 72 passes, a game high.
Nikola Vučević defended 7 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Scottie Barnes had 21 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Pascal Siakam	4.99	6.5	75	49
Scottie Barnes	4.62	6.6	84	58
Dennis Schröder	4.22	6.5	94	72
Gary Trent Jr.	3.72	6.5	44	25
OG Anunoby	3.31	6.4	36	25
Jakob Poeltl	2.32	6.7	23	16
Precious Achiuwa	2.20	6.7	27	24
Jalen McDaniels	2.19	7.0	28	22
Chris Boucher	2.06	6.9	18	12
Gradey Dick	0.69	7.0	8	6
Malachi Flynn	0.55	6.9	9	6

Chicago Bulls

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
DeMar DeRozan	4.86	6.4	71	39
Coby White	4.81	6.5	91	64
Zach LaVine	4.70	6.5	58	38
Nikola Vučević	4.49	6.1	63	42
Alex Caruso	4.20	7.1	51	40

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2023-24 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl contested 9.3 shots per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 14 of 373 in the league.
OG Anunoby deflected 2.6 passes per game over his 50 games.
He ranks 19 of 373 in the league.
Dennis Schröder recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 27 of 373 in the league.

Chicago Bulls

Alex Caruso deflected 3.8 passes per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 1 of 373 in the league.
Coby White recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 19 of 373 in the league.
Nikola Vučević contested 8.2 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 24 of 373 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Chicago Bulls have won 61 of their 113 games against the Toronto Raptors.

61-52record of the Chicago Bulls · NBA 1995-96 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-3in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1995-96 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.555

93.5% of capacity

United Center · Chicago

Scoring

207

combined points

21.4 below the season average (228.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed5 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Offensive · 00:03.4

Pascal Siakam → Alex Caruso

Siakam (TOR) and Caruso (CHI) come together during the throw-in and marginal contact occurs as Siakam releases away. Caruso is not dislodged from his defensive position as a result of any illegal contact by Siakam.

Turnover: Traveling · 00:06.3

DeMar DeRozan → Raptors

DeRozan (CHI) gathers the ball and establishes his left foot as his pivot foot. He then slides his left foot prior to releasing the jump shot attempt.

Foul: Offensive · 00:33.2

Pascal Siakam → Coby White

Siakam (TOR) releases the pass but continues moving forward and goes through White's (CHI) space, dislodging him from his defensive position.

Foul: Shooting · 01:25.7

Pascal Siakam → DeMar DeRozan

Siakam (TOR) maintains verticality and absorbs the contact that occurs as DeRozan (CHI) slips by for the layup attempt.