SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 19 December 2023

MEM115–113NOP
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 53% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NOP winsMEM wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NOP leads and falls when MEM does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MEM

Vince Williams Jr.
Desmond Bane
Ja Morant
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Santi Aldama

Williams · Bane · Morant · Jackson · Aldama

Closing lineup · NOP

Brandon Ingram
Herbert Jones
Trey Murphy III
Naji Marshall
Dyson Daniels

Ingram · Jones · Murphy · Marshall · Daniels

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MEM
Vince Williams Jr.

Vince Williams Jr.

35′ · -8

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

35′ · +5

Ja Morant

Ja Morant

35′ · +12

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

30′ · -2

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

22′ · +3

John Konchar

John Konchar

22′ · -6

Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama

16′ · -5

Ziaire Williams

Ziaire Williams

18′ · +1

Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman

20′ · +3

David Roddy

David Roddy

9′ · +7

NOP
CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum

41′ · +9

Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

37′ · 0

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas

33′ · +5

Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones

30′ · 0

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

25′ · -13

Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III

21′ · -6

Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall

17′ · -11

Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado

8′ · -9

Cody Zeller

Cody Zeller

13′ · -2

Dyson Daniels

Dyson Daniels

13′ · +17

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MEM and NOP.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Williams, and Biyombo played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Tillman, Bane, and Williams played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Morant, Bane, Roddy, Williams, and Biyombo played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Williamson, Jones, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 12.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • Ingram, Jones, Murphy, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Ingram, Marshall, Murphy, Alvarado, and Zeller played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Konchar, Bane, Aldama, Williams, and Biyombo played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Konchar, Tillman, and Williams played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Morant, Tillman, Williams, and Williams played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jackson, Konchar, Bane, Williams, and Aldama played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Konchar, Bane, Williams, Aldama, and Biyombo played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Konchar, Bane, Roddy, Williams, and Biyombo played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Morant, Konchar, Williams, and Aldama played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Morant, Konchar, Tillman, Williams, and Aldama played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Morant, Konchar, Tillman, Aldama, and Williams played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Morant, Tillman, Bane, Roddy, and Williams played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Aldama, and Williams played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jackson, Konchar, Tillman, Bane, and Williams played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Jones, Daniels, McCollum, and Zeller played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Ingram, Jones, Daniels, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Ingram, Williamson, Jones, McCollum, and Zeller played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Marshall, Murphy, Daniels, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Williamson, Marshall, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williamson, Marshall, Murphy, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williamson, Murphy, Daniels, Valanciunas, and McCollum played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Marshall, Murphy, Alvarado, McCollum, and Zeller played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.355
108.8% of capacity
Smoothie King Center · New Orleans
Scoring
228
combined points
0.4 below the season average (228.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

14 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors