Win probability changed during the game. · 6 March 2024
It was more exciting than 89% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
White · DeRozan · Dosunmu · Caruso · Vucevic
Closing lineup · UTA
Sexton · Collins · Sensabaugh · Dunn · Clarkson
Coby White
42′ · +7
DeMar DeRozan
38′ · +5
Ayo Dosunmu
36′ · -3
Alex Caruso
34′ · +1
Nikola Vucevic
31′ · +4
Julian Phillips
15′ · +6
Onuralp Bitim
6′ · -5
Jevon Carter
20′ · -5
Andre Drummond
17′ · -2
Collin Sexton
35′ · +4
John Collins
32′ · +4
Brice Sensabaugh
30′ · +1
Kris Dunn
29′ · -1
Luka Samanic
19′ · -2
Jordan Clarkson
34′ · -3
Talen Horton-Tucker
24′ · -10
Johnny Juzang
20′ · +3
Omer Yurtseven
16′ · -6
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and UTA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
Caruso, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 23.6 minutes together.
Caruso, Carter, White, DeRozan, and Drummond played 6.1 minutes together.
White, Dosunmu, Phillips, Bitim, and Vucevic played 3.6 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Utah Jazz
Dunn, Collins, Sexton, Samanic, and Sensabaugh played 12.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Dunn, Horton-Tucker, Yurtseven, Juzang, and Clarkson played 11.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Collins, Sexton, Samanic, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
Carter, White, Phillips, DeRozan, and Drummond played 3.1 minutes together.
Caruso, Carter, White, Phillips, and Drummond played 2.5 minutes together.
Carter, Dosunmu, Phillips, Bitim, and Drummond played 2.1 minutes together.
Carter, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Drummond played 1.8 minutes together.
Caruso, Carter, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Drummond played 1.5 minutes together.
White, Dosunmu, Phillips, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.3 minutes together.
Carter, Dosunmu, Phillips, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.
Utah Jazz
Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Dunn, Collins, Sexton, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Juzang, and Clarkson played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Yurtseven, Juzang, and Clarkson played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Samanic, and Sensabaugh played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Dunn, Yurtseven, Juzang, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

