SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 6 March 2024

CHI119–117UTA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 89% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ UTA winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Coby White
DeMar DeRozan
Ayo Dosunmu
Alex Caruso
Nikola Vucevic

White · DeRozan · Dosunmu · Caruso · Vucevic

Closing lineup · UTA

Collin Sexton
John Collins
Brice Sensabaugh
Kris Dunn
Jordan Clarkson

Sexton · Collins · Sensabaugh · Dunn · Clarkson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Coby White

Coby White

42′ · +7

DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

38′ · +5

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

36′ · -3

Alex Caruso

Alex Caruso

34′ · +1

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

31′ · +4

Julian Phillips

Julian Phillips

15′ · +6

Onuralp Bitim

Onuralp Bitim

6′ · -5

Jevon Carter

Jevon Carter

20′ · -5

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

17′ · -2

UTA
Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

35′ · +4

John Collins

John Collins

32′ · +4

Brice Sensabaugh

Brice Sensabaugh

30′ · +1

Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn

29′ · -1

Luka Samanic

Luka Samanic

19′ · -2

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

34′ · -3

Talen Horton-Tucker

Talen Horton-Tucker

24′ · -10

Johnny Juzang

Johnny Juzang

20′ · +3

Omer Yurtseven

Omer Yurtseven

16′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and UTA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Caruso, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 23.6 minutes together.

  • Caruso, Carter, White, DeRozan, and Drummond played 6.1 minutes together.

  • White, Dosunmu, Phillips, Bitim, and Vucevic played 3.6 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Utah Jazz

  • Dunn, Collins, Sexton, Samanic, and Sensabaugh played 12.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Dunn, Horton-Tucker, Yurtseven, Juzang, and Clarkson played 11.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Collins, Sexton, Samanic, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Carter, White, Phillips, DeRozan, and Drummond played 3.1 minutes together.

  • Caruso, Carter, White, Phillips, and Drummond played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Carter, Dosunmu, Phillips, Bitim, and Drummond played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Carter, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Drummond played 1.8 minutes together.

  • Caruso, Carter, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Drummond played 1.5 minutes together.

  • White, Dosunmu, Phillips, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.3 minutes together.

  • Carter, Dosunmu, Phillips, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.

Utah Jazz

  • Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Dunn, Collins, Sexton, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Juzang, and Clarkson played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Yurtseven, Juzang, and Clarkson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Collins, Sexton, Horton-Tucker, Samanic, and Sensabaugh played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dunn, Yurtseven, Juzang, Sensabaugh, and Clarkson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.206
99.5% of capacity
Delta Center · Salt Lake City
Scoring
236
combined points
7.6 above the season average (228.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

26 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:09.3
Jordan Clarkson → Ayo Dosunmu
Clarkson (UTA) extends both arms out into Dosunmu's (CHI) front and initiates contact to create space during the inbound.
Turnover: 5 Second Violation · 00:09.3
Kris Dunn → Bulls
Dunn (UTA) does not inbound the ball within five seconds of receiving it from the game official.
Foul: Personal · 00:45.0
Nikola Vucevic → Collin Sexton
Vucevic (CHI) brings his left hand out and makes direct contact with the ball, which dislodges it from Sexton's (UTA) grasp prior to incidental contact occurring.
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 01:47.2
Kris Dunn → DeMar DeRozan
Dunn (UTA) reaches in across DeRozan's (CHI) lower body, causing him to lose control of the ball out of bounds. Although possession was incorrectly given to CHI, there should have been a foul assessed to Dunn for the contact.