Charlotte Hornets – Atlanta Hawks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 April 2024

CHA115–114ATL

Is it worth watching?

The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsCHA wins ↓

The last point of this curve falls on ATL's side, but CHA won 115-114. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when CHA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Brandon Miller decided it, the Charlotte Hornets player with the most points (27, with 3 rebounds and 2 assists; +1 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Davis Bertans's (+10). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Atlanta Hawks 114-115 Charlotte Hornets (April 10, 2024) was hit by Miles Bridges: a layup with 3.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Charlotte Hornets up 115-114. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Atlanta Hawks 114-115 Charlotte Hornets (April 10, 2024) was a 11-0 run by the Charlotte Hornets in the fourth quarter (from 9:18 to 7:36), from 83-97 to 94-97. The Atlanta Hawks' best was a 8-0 run in the first quarter (from 8:58 to 7:19), from 8-14 to 16-14.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Miles Bridges makes two point shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Miles Bridges decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 3.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 3 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Bridges decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

10 April 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401585787:619; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Mann · Miller · Bridges · Williams · Pokusevski

Closing lineup · ATL

Krejci · Windler · Bufkin · Fernando · Forrest

Q1Q2Q3Q4

CHA

Tre Mann

37′ · +2

Brandon Miller

33′ · +1

Miles Bridges

30′ · -9

Grant Williams

27′ · -1

Vasilije Micic

22′ · -14

Aleksej Pokusevski

26′ · +5

Nick Richards

19′ · +1

JT Thor

18′ · +10

Davis Bertans

18′ · +10

Bryce McGowens

8′ · -1

Marques Bolden

3′ · +1

ATL

Vit Krejci

33′ · -5

Garrison Mathews

31′ · +14

Bogdan Bogdanovic

22′ · +12

Trae Young

21′ · +16

Clint Capela

21′ · +14

Dylan Windler

26′ · -20

Kobe Bufkin

24′ · -9

Mouhamed Gueye

17′ · 0

Bruno Fernando

25′ · -14

Trent Forrest

20′ · -13

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and ATL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

Bridges, Williams, Mann, Miller, and Micic played 10.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.
Pokusevski, Richards, Mann, Thor, and Bertans played 6.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Williams, Mann, Thor, Miller, and Bertans played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

Atlanta Hawks

Young, Mathews, Krejci, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 13.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 16 points.
Fernando, Young, Windler, Mathews, and Gueye played 7.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Fernando, Windler, Forrest, Krejci, and Bufkin played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

Richards, Mann, Thor, Miller, and Bertans played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Bridges, Williams, McGowens, Miller, and Micic played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Bridges, Pokusevski, Richards, Miller, and Micic played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Bridges, Williams, Pokusevski, Mann, and Miller played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Bolden, Pokusevski, Mann, Thor, and Bertans played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Bridges, Pokusevski, Richards, Mann, and McGowens played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bridges, Pokusevski, Richards, Mann, and Miller played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Bridges, Williams, Pokusevski, Miller, and Micic played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bridges, Williams, Pokusevski, McGowens, and Micic played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Atlanta Hawks

Fernando, Mathews, Forrest, Gueye, and Bufkin played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Windler, Krejci, Bufkin, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Fernando, Windler, Mathews, Forrest, and Krejci played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Windler, Forrest, Krejci, Gueye, and Bufkin played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Forrest, Krejci, Bufkin, Capela, and Bogdanovic played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Tre Mann covered 4.60 km, more than anyone in the game.

Tre Mann touched the ball 75 times, a game high.
Tre Mann made 52 passes, a game high.
Grant Williams had 13 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Charlotte Hornets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Tre Mann	4.60	7.1	75	52
Brandon Miller	4.17	7.1	54	34
Miles Bridges	3.52	6.6	49	30
Grant Williams	2.90	6.2	49	38
Aleksej Pokusevski	2.78	7.0	32	24
Vasilije Micic	2.59	6.8	38	31
Nick Richards	2.30	6.9	16	11
JT Thor	2.30	7.2	22	16
Davis Bertans	2.09	6.5	13	6
Bryce McGowens	1.50	7.0	10	7
Marques Bolden	0.32	6.9	4	3

Atlanta Hawks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Vít Krejčí	4.17	7.0	66	49
Garrison Mathews	3.57	6.7	43	30
Dylan Windler	3.39	7.2	29	21
Kobe Bufkin	2.96	6.9	50	32
Bruno Fernando	2.80	6.3	41

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2023-24 regular season, not this game.

Charlotte Hornets

Tre Mann deflected 2.6 passes per game over his 34 games.
He ranks 18 of 373 in the league.
Grant Williams drew 0.16 charges per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 19 of 373 in the league.
Brandon Miller drew 0.15 charges per game over his 74 games.
He ranks 23 of 373 in the league.

Atlanta Hawks

Garrison Mathews drew 0.25 charges per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 9 of 373 in the league.
Trae Young drew 0.22 charges per game over his 54 games.
He ranks 11 of 373 in the league.
Clint Capela drew 0.19 charges per game over his 73 games.
He ranks 12 of 373 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Atlanta Hawks have won 42 of their 85 games against the Charlotte Hornets.

42-43record of the Atlanta Hawks · NBA 2004-05 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-3in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2004-05 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

16.158

94.8% of capacity

State Farm Arena · Atlanta

Scoring

229

combined points

0.6 above the season average (228.4)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors