SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 13 November 2024

CHI124–123NYK
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 21 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NYK winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NYK leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Zach LaVine
Coby White
Nikola Vucevic
Patrick Williams
Ayo Dosunmu

LaVine · White · Vucevic · Williams · Dosunmu

Closing lineup · NYK

Mikal Bridges
Karl-Anthony Towns
OG Anunoby
Josh Hart
Jalen Brunson

Bridges · Towns · Anunoby · Hart · Brunson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

36′ · +21

Coby White

Coby White

36′ · -8

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

34′ · +14

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

33′ · +1

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey

28′ · +19

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

25′ · -4

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

12′ · -10

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

14′ · -13

Dalen Terry

Dalen Terry

10′ · -23

Julian Phillips

Julian Phillips

11′ · +8

NYK
Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

43′ · +2

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

39′ · +4

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby

36′ · -20

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

34′ · +9

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

34′ · -13

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

23′ · +10

Jericho Sims

Jericho Sims

9′ · -5

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

17′ · +11

Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan

5′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and NYK.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • White, Williams, Giddey, Vucevic, and LaVine played 13.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 19 points.

  • Dosunmu, Giddey, Phillips, Vucevic, and LaVine played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Williams, Dosunmu, Phillips, Vucevic, and LaVine played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

New York Knicks

  • Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 17.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Towns, Payne, Hart, Bridges, and McBride played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 16 points.

  • Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, McBride, and Sims played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • White, Williams, Dosunmu, Vucevic, and LaVine played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • White, Smith, Dosunmu, Terry, and Buzelis played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • White, Williams, Dosunmu, Terry, and Vucevic played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • White, Williams, Smith, Giddey, and LaVine played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williams, Smith, Dosunmu, Giddey, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • White, Dosunmu, Buzelis, Vucevic, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • White, Williams, Smith, Giddey, and Phillips played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • White, Williams, Terry, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

New York Knicks

  • Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Sims played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Towns, Payne, Hart, Ryan, and McBride played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Ryan, and McBride played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and Brunson played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and McBride played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Towns, Payne, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.812
100% of capacity
Madison Square Garden · New York
Scoring
247
combined points
19.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Personal · 01:01.0
Karl-Anthony Towns → Zach LaVine
Towns (NYK) steps laterally into LaVine's (CHI) path on his drive.