Milwaukee Bucks – Charlotte Hornets · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 November 2024

MIL114–115CHA

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 37 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when MIL does.

This is how the game was decided.

LaMelo Ball decided it, the Charlotte Hornets player with the most points (26, with 9 rebounds and 6 assists; +12 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Charlotte Hornets 115-114 Milwaukee Bucks (November 16, 2024) was hit by LaMelo Ball: a free throw with 7.1 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Charlotte Hornets up 115-114. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Charlotte Hornets 115-114 Milwaukee Bucks (November 16, 2024) was a 8-0 run by the Charlotte Hornets between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 31-39 to 39-39. The Milwaukee Bucks' best was a 7-0 run in the third quarter (from 5:04 to 3:04), from 77-81 to 84-81.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: LaMelo Ball makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

LaMelo Ball decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.1 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Ball decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

16 November 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401704795:666; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIL

Prince · Antetokounmpo · Lopez · Portis · Connaughton

Closing lineup · CHA

Miller · Williams · Green · Bridges · Martin

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIL

Taurean Prince

35′ · +7

Delon Wright

33′ · 0

Andre Jackson Jr.

33′ · -8

Giannis Antetokounmpo

33′ · -2

Brook Lopez

30′ · +1

Bobby Portis Jr.

24′ · +5

Gary Trent Jr.

18′ · -1

Pat Connaughton

21′ · -3

AJ Green

13′ · -4

CHA

LaMelo Ball

36′ · +12

Brandon Miller

34′ · -1

Grant Williams

30′ · +9

Josh Green

29′ · -2

Miles Bridges

27′ · +4

Moussa Diabate

25′ · -7

Cody Martin

23′ · +4

Tre Mann

21′ · -7

Tidjane Salaun

10′ · -8

Seth Curry

5′ · +1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIL and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Milwaukee Bucks

Wright, Prince, Jackson, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 12.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wright, Portis, Green, Jackson, and Lopez played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Connaughton, Prince, Jackson, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Charlotte Hornets

Bridges, Williams, Ball, Green, and Miller played 14.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Martin, Mann, Diabate, Miller, and Salaun played 8.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Bridges, Martin, Ball, Mann, and Diabate played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Milwaukee Bucks

Portis, Connaughton, Prince, Trent, and Antetokounmpo played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Wright, Portis, Prince, Jackson, and Lopez played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Wright, Trent, Jackson, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Trent, Green, and Lopez played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Wright, Portis, Prince, Trent, and Antetokounmpo played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Prince, Trent, and Green played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Prince, Jackson, and Antetokounmpo played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Wright, Portis, Connaughton, Trent, and Antetokounmpo played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Wright, Portis, Connaughton, Prince, and Green played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wright, Connaughton, Jackson, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wright, Connaughton, Prince, Jackson, and Antetokounmpo played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Wright, Green, Jackson, Lopez, and Antetokounmpo played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Portis, Prince, Trent, Green, and Jackson played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Charlotte Hornets

Bridges, Williams, Ball, Green, and Curry played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bridges, Ball, Green, Mann, and Diabate played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Martin, Williams, Ball, Green, and Miller played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bridges, Martin, Williams, Ball, and Mann played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Williams, Ball, Diabate, Miller, and Curry played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Martin, Williams, Mann, Diabate, and Miller played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Martin, Ball, Green, Diabate, and Miller played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Martin, Green, Mann, Diabate, and Salaun played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Williams, Ball, Green, Diabate, and Miller played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Martin, Williams, Ball, Diabate, and Miller played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Bridges, Williams, Ball, Green, and Mann played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

LaMelo Ball covered 4.33 km, more than anyone in the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo touched the ball 108 times, a game high.
Giannis Antetokounmpo made 86 passes, a game high.
Moussa Diabaté defended 7 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 3.
Moussa Diabaté had 21 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Andre Jackson Jr.	4.31	8.0	24	21
Delon Wright	4.23	7.6	69	61
Taurean Prince	3.94	6.9	41	32
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3.75	6.9	108	86
Brook Lopez	3.36	6.8	27	21
Bobby Portis Jr.	2.59	6.8	49	32
Pat Connaughton	2.41	7.3	48	42
Gary Trent Jr.	1.75	6.3	12	6
AJ Green	1.37	7.3	15	15

Charlotte Hornets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
LaMelo Ball	4.33	7.2	91	66
Josh Green	3.77	8.0	19	17
Brandon Miller	3.73	6.9	51	38
Miles Bridges	3.07	6.9	49	32
Grant Williams	3.07	6.2	36

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez contested 13.6 shots per game over his 80 games.
He ranks 1 of 388 in the league.
Bobby Portis contested 6.3 shots per game over his 49 games.
He ranks 43 of 388 in the league.
AJ Green drew 0.07 charges per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 57 of 388 in the league.

Charlotte Hornets

Cody Martin recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 52 games.
He ranks 7 of 388 in the league.
LaMelo Ball recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 47 games.
He ranks 16 of 388 in the league.
Miles Bridges contested 6.3 shots per game over his 64 games.
He ranks 42 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Charlotte Hornets have won 30 of their 78 games against the Milwaukee Bucks.

30-48record of the Charlotte Hornets · NBA 2004-05 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-3in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2004-05 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.145

100.4% of capacity

Spectrum Center · Charlotte

Scoring

229

combined points

1.3 above the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

14 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Personal · 00:07.3

Giannis Antetokounmpo → LaMelo Ball

Antetokounmpo (MIL) maintains a legal guarding position along Ball's (CHA) path and Ball loses his footing on his own accord.