Toronto Raptors – Boston Celtics · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 November 2024

TOR123–126BOS

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 30 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BOS winsTOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Jaylen Brown decided it, the Boston Celtics player with the most points (27, with 6 rebounds and 7 assists; +2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Sam Hauser's (+8). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Boston Celtics 126-123 Toronto Raptors (November 16, 2024) was hit by Jayson Tatum: a three-pointer with 0.0 s left in overtime, putting the Boston Celtics up 126-123. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Boston Celtics 126-123 Toronto Raptors (November 16, 2024) was a 12-0 run by the Boston Celtics in the first quarter (from 10:27 to 8:24), from 2-4 to 14-4. The Toronto Raptors' best was a 9-0 run in the second quarter (from 7:08 to 5:37), from 36-44 to 45-44.

With 35 points, this is Jakob Poeltl's highest-scoring regular-season game of his career.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jayson Tatum makes 29-foot three pointer.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Jayson Tatum decided this game: his points put his team ahead at the buzzer of overtime 1, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 8 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Tatum decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

16 November 2024 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401704796:702; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · TOR

Barrett · Agbaji · Poeltl · Dick · Mitchell

Closing lineup · BOS

Brown · Tatum · White · Horford · Pritchard

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

TOR

RJ Barrett

42′ · +3

Ochai Agbaji

39′ · -4

Jakob Poeltl

37′ · -3

Gradey Dick

37′ · -3

Davion Mitchell

32′ · 0

Bruno Fernando

9′ · 0

Jamal Shead

21′ · -3

Chris Boucher

20′ · 0

Jonathan Mogbo

17′ · -3

Jamison Battle

11′ · -2

BOS

Jaylen Brown

43′ · +2

Jayson Tatum

42′ · +1

Derrick White

41′ · +1

Neemias Queta

33′ · -5

Al Horford

32′ · -7

Payton Pritchard

24′ · +6

Sam Hauser

25′ · +8

Luke Kornet

17′ · +7

Jordan Walsh

8′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. TOR and BOS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Toronto Raptors

Poeltl, Barrett, Agbaji, Mitchell, and Dick played 23.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Poeltl, Boucher, Dick, Shead, and Mogbo played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Fernando, Barrett, Agbaji, Mitchell, and Battle played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Boston Celtics

Brown, Tatum, White, Queta, and Horford played 20.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 9.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Tatum, Kornet, Pritchard, Hauser, and Walsh played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Toronto Raptors

Poeltl, Boucher, Barrett, Agbaji, and Mitchell played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Boucher, Fernando, Barrett, Agbaji, and Shead played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Poeltl, Dick, Shead, Mogbo, and Battle played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Boucher, Fernando, Agbaji, Dick, and Shead played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Boucher, Barrett, Agbaji, Shead, and Mogbo played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Boucher, Barrett, Shead, Mogbo, and Battle played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Barrett, Agbaji, Mitchell, Mogbo, and Battle played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Poeltl, Barrett, Shead, Mogbo, and Battle played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Boucher, Barrett, Dick, Shead, and Mogbo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Fernando, Barrett, Agbaji, Mitchell, and Dick played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Boston Celtics

Brown, Tatum, White, Kornet, and Horford played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, Tatum, White, Kornet, and Hauser played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, Tatum, White, Pritchard, and Horford played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Tatum, Kornet, Pritchard, Hauser, and Horford played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, White, Queta, Hauser, and Horford played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, Tatum, Kornet, Pritchard, and Hauser played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

RJ Barrett covered 4.81 km, more than anyone in the game.

Derrick White touched the ball 98 times, a game high.
Derrick White made 82 passes, a game high.
Luke Kornet defended 8 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Jakob Poeltl had 19 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
RJ Barrett	4.81	7.0	82	60
Ochai Agbaji	4.33	6.9	39	27
Gradey Dick	4.22	7.1	39	23
Jakob Poeltl	4.09	6.9	55	43
Davion Mitchell	3.48	6.7	57	57
Jamal Shead	2.22	6.6	40	36
Chris Boucher	1.96	6.2	17	9
Jonathan Mogbo	1.83	6.7	17	17
Jamison Battle	1.42	7.8	10	11
Bruno Fernando	0.90	6.4	17	14

Boston Celtics

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jaylen Brown	4.52	6.5	67	45
Derrick White	4.41	6.6	98	82
Jayson Tatum	3.91	5.9	82	72
Neemias Queta	3.59	6.7	33	25
Al Horford	3.25	6.3	31

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2024-25 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl contested 8.9 shots per game over his 57 games.
He ranks 17 of 388 in the league.
Davion Mitchell drew 0.14 charges per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 23 of 388 in the league.
Jamal Shead drew 0.11 charges per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 32 of 388 in the league.

Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 19 of 388 in the league.
Luke Kornet defended 4.5 shots at the rim per game over his 71 games, and opponents made 12 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 8 of 138 in the league.
Derrick White drew 0.12 charges per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 30 of 388 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Boston Celtics have won 81 of their 127 games against the Toronto Raptors.

81-46record of the Boston Celtics · NBA 1995-96 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

4-0in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1995-96 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.156

102.9% of capacity

TD Garden · Boston

Scoring

249

combined points

21.3 above the season average (227.7)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

35 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Traveling · 00:03.4

Jayson Tatum → Raptors

Tatum (BOS) slides his pivot foot before releasing his dribble.

Foul: Personal · 00:07.0

Davion Mitchell → Jaylen Brown

Mitchell (TOR) attempts to move over the screen and delivers contact to Brown's (BOS) body which dislodges him from his position.

Foul: Personal · 00:24.7

Jayson Tatum → Jakob P?ltl

Tatum (BOS) wraps his arm around Poltl's (TOR) body during his spin move and initiates contact to his lower body, which affects his SQBR and ability to gather.

Turnover: 3 Second Violation · 00:26.5

Jakob P?ltl → Celtics

Poltl (TOR) is in the lane for longer than three seconds.