Win probability changed during the game. · 28 February 2025
It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Anunoby · Bridges · Hart · Robinson · McBride
Closing lineup · MEM
Bane · Jackson · Morant · Aldama · Kennard
OG Anunoby
38′ · -4
Jalen Brunson
36′ · -2
Mikal Bridges
33′ · +1
Karl-Anthony Towns
31′ · -10
Josh Hart
29′ · -4
Mitchell Robinson
12′ · +11
Miles McBride
28′ · +9
Landry Shamet
16′ · -2
Precious Achiuwa
4′ · 0
Cameron Payne
12′ · +6
Desmond Bane
35′ · +6
Jaren Jackson Jr.
34′ · +5
Ja Morant
31′ · +8
Zach Edey
24′ · +5
Jaylen Wells
22′ · +9
Vince Williams Jr.
20′ · -19
Santi Aldama
21′ · -5
Brandon Clarke
17′ · -7
Scotty Pippen Jr.
12′ · -6
Luke Kennard
24′ · -1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and MEM.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 15.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, and McBride played 6.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Memphis Grizzlies
Jackson, Morant, Bane, Edey, and Wells played 10.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 15 points.
Kennard, Jackson, Bane, Edey, and Wells played 7.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Morant, Clarke, Aldama, Pippen, and Williams played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Hart, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, Achiuwa, and McBride played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Towns, Hart, Brunson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and Shamet played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Hart, Brunson, Shamet, Achiuwa, and McBride played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Memphis Grizzlies
Kennard, Clarke, Aldama, Pippen, and Williams played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Jackson, Morant, Bane, Aldama, and Williams played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Kennard, Jackson, Morant, Bane, and Edey played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Kennard, Jackson, Clarke, Bane, and Wells played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Morant, Clarke, Bane, Aldama, and Williams played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Jackson, Morant, Bane, Williams, and Edey played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Kennard, Jackson, Morant, Aldama, and Williams played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Kennard, Jackson, Bane, Aldama, and Pippen played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Kennard, Jackson, Clarke, Bane, and Williams played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Kennard, Morant, Bane, Aldama, and Edey played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.
⚠️ Optical tracking did not capture every player in this game.

