SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 February 2025

NYK114–113MEM
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsNYK wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when NYK does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NYK

OG Anunoby
Mikal Bridges
Josh Hart
Mitchell Robinson
Miles McBride

Anunoby · Bridges · Hart · Robinson · McBride

Closing lineup · MEM

Desmond Bane
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Ja Morant
Santi Aldama
Luke Kennard

Bane · Jackson · Morant · Aldama · Kennard

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NYK
OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby

38′ · -4

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

36′ · -2

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

33′ · +1

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

31′ · -10

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

29′ · -4

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

12′ · +11

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

28′ · +9

Landry Shamet

Landry Shamet

16′ · -2

Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

4′ · 0

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

12′ · +6

MEM
Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

35′ · +6

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

34′ · +5

Ja Morant

Ja Morant

31′ · +8

Zach Edey

Zach Edey

24′ · +5

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

22′ · +9

Vince Williams Jr.

Vince Williams Jr.

20′ · -19

Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama

21′ · -5

Brandon Clarke

Brandon Clarke

17′ · -7

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

12′ · -6

Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

24′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New York Knicks

  • Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 15.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, and McBride played 6.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Edey, and Wells played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 15 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Bane, Edey, and Wells played 7.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Morant, Clarke, Aldama, Pippen, and Williams played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New York Knicks

  • Hart, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, Achiuwa, and McBride played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Towns, Hart, Brunson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and Shamet played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hart, Brunson, Shamet, Achiuwa, and McBride played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Kennard, Clarke, Aldama, Pippen, and Williams played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Aldama, and Williams played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Morant, Bane, and Edey played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Clarke, Bane, and Wells played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Morant, Clarke, Bane, Aldama, and Williams played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jackson, Morant, Bane, Williams, and Edey played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Morant, Aldama, and Williams played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Bane, Aldama, and Pippen played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Clarke, Bane, and Williams played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kennard, Morant, Bane, Aldama, and Edey played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.794
100% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Scoring
227
combined points
0.7 below the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors

⚠️ Optical tracking did not capture every player in this game.