SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 March 2025

ATL132–130MEM
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 83% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when ATL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ATL

Trae Young
Dyson Daniels
Onyeka Okongwu
Caris LeVert
Terance Mann

Young · Daniels · Okongwu · LeVert · Mann

Closing lineup · MEM

Desmond Bane
Luke Kennard
Jaylen Wells
Zach Edey
Vince Williams Jr.

Bane · Kennard · Wells · Edey · Williams

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ATL
Trae Young

Trae Young

36′ · +5

Dyson Daniels

Dyson Daniels

33′ · +16

Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu

32′ · +11

Zaccharie Risacher

Zaccharie Risacher

32′ · -7

Dominick Barlow

Dominick Barlow

13′ · -3

Caris LeVert

Caris LeVert

32′ · +13

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

29′ · -3

Clint Capela

Clint Capela

16′ · -9

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

14′ · -8

Keaton Wallace

Keaton Wallace

3′ · -5

MEM
Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

36′ · -3

Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

35′ · -8

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

33′ · -1

Zach Edey

Zach Edey

27′ · +4

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

2′ · -3

GG Jackson

GG Jackson

28′ · -2

Vince Williams Jr.

Vince Williams Jr.

25′ · +5

Brandon Clarke

Brandon Clarke

21′ · -6

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

16′ · -4

John Konchar

John Konchar

15′ · +9

Lamar Stevens

Lamar Stevens

3′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ATL and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Young, Okongwu, Daniels, Barlow, and Risacher played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • LeVert, Young, Okongwu, Daniels, and Risacher played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Young, Mann, Okongwu, Daniels, and Risacher played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Kennard, Bane, Jackson, Edey, and Wells played 10.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Clarke, Bane, Williams, Jackson, and Wells played 7.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Kennard, Konchar, Williams, Edey, and Wells played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Atlanta Hawks

  • Young, Mann, Mathews, Risacher, and Capela played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • LeVert, Young, Mann, Okongwu, and Daniels played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • LeVert, Young, Mann, Risacher, and Capela played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • LeVert, Mathews, Okongwu, Daniels, and Barlow played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • LeVert, Mann, Mathews, Wallace, and Capela played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • LeVert, Mann, Okongwu, Daniels, and Risacher played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • LeVert, Young, Daniels, Risacher, and Capela played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • LeVert, Young, Mann, Okongwu, and Risacher played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • LeVert, Mann, Okongwu, Daniels, and Barlow played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • LeVert, Mann, Daniels, Barlow, and Capela played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • LeVert, Mann, Mathews, Okongwu, and Daniels played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • LeVert, Young, Mann, Mathews, and Capela played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • LeVert, Young, Okongwu, Daniels, and Barlow played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • LeVert, Young, Mathews, Risacher, and Capela played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Clarke, Konchar, Bane, Pippen, and Williams played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kennard, Clarke, Bane, Jackson, and Wells played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Kennard, Bane, Williams, Edey, and Wells played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Kennard, Konchar, Stevens, Pippen, and Edey played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Clarke, Bane, Pippen, Williams, and Jackson played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kennard, Clarke, Bane, Pippen, and Jackson played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Kennard, Jackson, Bane, Edey, and Wells played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kennard, Konchar, Pippen, Jackson, and Edey played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kennard, Clarke, Bane, Williams, and Wells played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Kennard, Konchar, Pippen, Williams, and Edey played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
15.719
88.3% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Scoring
262
combined points
34.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

11 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors