SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 March 2025

SAC110–111LAC
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 33 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAC winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAC leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Keegan Murray
Zach LaVine
Jonas Valanciunas
Keon Ellis
Jake LaRavia

Murray · LaVine · Valanciunas · Ellis · LaRavia

Closing lineup · LAC

James Harden
Ivica Zubac
Kawhi Leonard
Derrick Jones Jr.
Bogdan Bogdanovic

Harden · Zubac · Leonard · Jones · Bogdanovic

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
SAC
Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

47′ · -7

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

44′ · +5

DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

44′ · -1

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas

42′ · 0

Keon Ellis

Keon Ellis

31′ · +2

Jake LaRavia

Jake LaRavia

31′ · -3

Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles

11′ · -1

Markelle Fultz

Markelle Fultz

2′ · +4

Devin Carter

Devin Carter

12′ · -4

LAC
James Harden

James Harden

44′ · -5

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

44′ · +3

Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard

40′ · -3

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

28′ · +2

Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn

27′ · +4

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

28′ · +8

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Bogdan Bogdanovic

23′ · -3

Amir Coffey

Amir Coffey

27′ · -1

Kobe Brown

Kobe Brown

4′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and LAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Murray, Ellis, DeRozan, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 22.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Murray, LaRavia, DeRozan, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 12.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Lyles, Murray, LaRavia, Carter, and DeRozan played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

LA Clippers

  • Dunn, Zubac, Batum, Harden, and Leonard played 18.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Zubac, Jones, Coffey, Harden, and Bogdanovic played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Zubac, Jones, Coffey, Harden, and Leonard played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Murray, LaRavia, Carter, DeRozan, and Valanciunas played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Lyles, Fultz, Ellis, LaRavia, and LaVine played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Lyles, Murray, Ellis, LaRavia, and LaVine played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ellis, LaRavia, Carter, Valanciunas, and LaVine played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Lyles, Ellis, LaRavia, Carter, and LaVine played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

LA Clippers

  • Zubac, Jones, Coffey, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Coffey, Brown, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Zubac, Coffey, Harden, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jones, Coffey, Batum, Harden, and Bogdanovic played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Zubac, Jones, Coffey, Batum, and Harden played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Zubac, Jones, Batum, Harden, and Leonard played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Dunn, Zubac, Jones, Batum, and Harden played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Dunn, Zubac, Harden, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Dunn, Zubac, Coffey, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Dunn, Jones, Coffey, Leonard, and Bogdanovic played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Coffey, Brown, Harden, and Bogdanovic played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.927
99.6% of capacity
Intuit Dome · Inglewood
Scoring
221
combined points
6.7 below the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors