SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 March 2025

NYK114–113POR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 39 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsNYK wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when NYK does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NYK

OG Anunoby
Josh Hart
Mikal Bridges
Karl-Anthony Towns
Miles McBride

Anunoby · Hart · Bridges · Towns · McBride

Closing lineup · POR

Shaedon Sharpe
Deni Avdija
Donovan Clingan
Scoot Henderson
Kris Murray

Sharpe · Avdija · Clingan · Henderson · Murray

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
NYK
OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby

43′ · +8

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

42′ · +3

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

41′ · +2

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

39′ · +12

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

38′ · -5

Landry Shamet

Landry Shamet

20′ · -7

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

19′ · -10

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

15′ · +3

Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

9′ · -4

POR
Shaedon Sharpe

Shaedon Sharpe

42′ · +2

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

41′ · -2

Donovan Clingan

Donovan Clingan

34′ · -8

Toumani Camara

Toumani Camara

34′ · +1

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

31′ · +1

Scoot Henderson

Scoot Henderson

37′ · 0

Duop Reath

Duop Reath

19′ · +4

Kris Murray

Kris Murray

15′ · -3

Jabari Walker

Jabari Walker

11′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and POR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New York Knicks

  • Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and McBride played 23.2 minutes together.

  • Hart, Bridges, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 5.4 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, and Achiuwa played 3.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Camara, and Clingan played 10.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Simons, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Clingan played 9.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Camara, and Reath played 7.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New York Knicks

  • Anunoby, Hart, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.

  • Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, Robinson, and Shamet played 2.7 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Hart, and Bridges played 2.6 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Hart, and Achiuwa played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Hart, Bridges, Robinson, Achiuwa, and McBride played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Towns, Hart, Bridges, Shamet, and McBride played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and Robinson played 1.8 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, and Shamet played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Towns, Anunoby, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.1 minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Simons, Henderson, Walker, Murray, and Clingan played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Simons, Sharpe, Walker, Murray, and Clingan played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, and Clingan played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simons, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Reath played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Murray, and Reath played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Simons, Henderson, Walker, Murray, and Reath played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Reath played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Clingan played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.510
90.2% of capacity
Moda Center · Portland
Scoring
227
combined points
0.7 below the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

27 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:40.5
Miles McBride → Scoot Henderson
McBride (NYK) grazes the back of Henderson's (POR) head during his shot attempt and the contact is marginal.