Win probability changed during the game. · 12 March 2025
It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 39 times
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Anunoby · Hart · Bridges · Towns · McBride
Closing lineup · POR
Sharpe · Avdija · Clingan · Henderson · Murray
OG Anunoby
43′ · +8
Josh Hart
42′ · +3
Mikal Bridges
41′ · +2
Karl-Anthony Towns
39′ · +12
Miles McBride
38′ · -5
Landry Shamet
20′ · -7
Mitchell Robinson
19′ · -10
Cameron Payne
15′ · +3
Precious Achiuwa
9′ · -4
Shaedon Sharpe
42′ · +2
Deni Avdija
41′ · -2
Donovan Clingan
34′ · -8
Toumani Camara
34′ · +1
Anfernee Simons
31′ · +1
Scoot Henderson
37′ · 0
Duop Reath
19′ · +4
Kris Murray
15′ · -3
Jabari Walker
11′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and POR.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and McBride played 23.2 minutes together.
Hart, Bridges, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 5.4 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Shamet, and Achiuwa played 3.8 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Portland Trail Blazers
Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Camara, and Clingan played 10.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Simons, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Clingan played 9.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Camara, and Reath played 7.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Anunoby, Hart, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.
Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, Robinson, and Shamet played 2.7 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Hart, and Bridges played 2.6 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Hart, and Achiuwa played 2.5 minutes together.
Hart, Bridges, Robinson, Achiuwa, and McBride played 2.5 minutes together.
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Shamet, and McBride played 1.9 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and Robinson played 1.8 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, and Shamet played 1.5 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Robinson, Shamet, and McBride played 1.1 minutes together.
Portland Trail Blazers
Simons, Henderson, Walker, Murray, and Clingan played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Simons, Sharpe, Walker, Murray, and Clingan played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, and Clingan played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Simons, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Reath played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Avdija, Henderson, Sharpe, Murray, and Reath played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Simons, Henderson, Walker, Murray, and Reath played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Reath played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Simons, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Clingan played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

