SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 March 2025

LAL117–119CHI
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 75% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsLAL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when LAL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAL

LeBron James
Luka Doncic
Austin Reaves
Dorian Finney-Smith
Gabe Vincent

James · Doncic · Reaves · Finney-Smith · Vincent

Closing lineup · CHI

Josh Giddey
Kevin Huerter
Coby White
Nikola Vucevic
Patrick Williams

Giddey · Huerter · White · Vucevic · Williams

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAL
LeBron James

LeBron James

39′ · -10

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic

38′ · -1

Austin Reaves

Austin Reaves

37′ · -10

Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes

32′ · -9

Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

30′ · -10

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

19′ · +9

Jordan Goodwin

Jordan Goodwin

18′ · +3

Gabe Vincent

Gabe Vincent

14′ · +13

Dalton Knecht

Dalton Knecht

12′ · +5

CHI
Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey

40′ · +8

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

40′ · +12

Coby White

Coby White

38′ · -1

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

32′ · +11

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

25′ · +3

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

29′ · -6

Zach Collins

Zach Collins

16′ · -9

Dalen Terry

Dalen Terry

13′ · -2

Julian Phillips

Julian Phillips

7′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAL and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Finney-Smith, Doncic, Hayes, Reaves, and James played 22.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Vanderbilt, Reaves, Goodwin, Knecht, and James played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Doncic, Vincent, Hayes, and Goodwin played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Huerter, White, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 10.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Huerter, White, Williams, Giddey, and Vucevic played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Huerter, Williams, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 9.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Vanderbilt, Doncic, Vincent, Goodwin, and Knecht played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Vanderbilt, Doncic, Vincent, Reaves, and James played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Vanderbilt, Doncic, Reaves, and Goodwin played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Vanderbilt, Vincent, Hayes, Knecht, and James played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Doncic, Hayes, Reaves, Goodwin, and James played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hayes, Reaves, Goodwin, Knecht, and James played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Vanderbilt, Doncic, Vincent, and James played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Vanderbilt, Doncic, Vincent, and Goodwin played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Chicago Bulls

  • Collins, Huerter, White, Giddey, and Terry played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Collins, White, Williams, Giddey, and Terry played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Collins, White, Williams, Terry, and Phillips played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Collins, Huerter, White, Phillips, and Buzelis played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Collins, Huerter, White, Terry, and Buzelis played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Huerter, White, Williams, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • White, Williams, Giddey, Phillips, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
21.957
105% of capacity
United Center · Chicago
Scoring
236
combined points
8.3 above the season average (227.7)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

14 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors