SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 1 May 2025

NYK116–113DET
Is it worth watching?

The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DET winsNYK wins ↓

The last point of this curve falls on DET's side, but NYK won 116-113. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when NYK does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NYK

OG Anunoby
Mikal Bridges
Jalen Brunson
Josh Hart
Miles McBride

Anunoby · Bridges · Brunson · Hart · McBride

Closing lineup · DET

Cade Cunningham
Tobias Harris
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Dennis Schroder
Malik Beasley

Cunningham · Harris · Hardaway · Schroder · Beasley

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NYK
OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby

44′ · +2

Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges

44′ · +7

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

42′ · +5

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

37′ · +8

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

35′ · +11

Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson

13′ · -10

Miles McBride

Miles McBride

17′ · -6

Cameron Payne

Cameron Payne

6′ · -4

DET
Cade Cunningham

Cade Cunningham

44′ · -2

Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris

39′ · -23

Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren

39′ · -3

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

33′ · -7

Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson

23′ · -7

Dennis Schroder

Dennis Schroder

30′ · +7

Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley

24′ · +17

Paul Reed

Paul Reed

8′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and DET.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New York Knicks

  • Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 26.3 minutes together.

  • Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 5.2 minutes together.

  • Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 4.2 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Detroit Pistons

  • Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, Harris, and Hardaway played 12.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.

  • Beasley, Cunningham, Duren, Harris, and Schroder played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Cunningham, Duren, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New York Knicks

  • Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, and McBride played 2.4 minutes together.

  • Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and McBride played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 2.0 minutes together.

Detroit Pistons

  • Beasley, Cunningham, Duren, Harris, and Hardaway played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, Schroder, and Hardaway played 5.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Beasley, Reed, Cunningham, Thompson, and Schroder played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Beasley, Reed, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Beasley, Reed, Cunningham, Harris, and Schroder played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Beasley, Duren, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Beasley, Cunningham, Thompson, Harris, and Schroder played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
20.062
98.7% of capacity
Little Caesars Arena · Detroit
Series
Game 6
First round
NYK 4-2
Scoring
229
combined points
11.5 above the season average (217.5)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors