Win probability changed during the game. · 1 May 2025
The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
The last point of this curve falls on DET's side, but NYK won 116-113. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Anunoby · Bridges · Brunson · Hart · McBride
Closing lineup · DET
Cunningham · Harris · Hardaway · Schroder · Beasley
OG Anunoby
44′ · +2
Mikal Bridges
44′ · +7
Jalen Brunson
42′ · +5
Karl-Anthony Towns
37′ · +8
Josh Hart
35′ · +11
Mitchell Robinson
13′ · -10
Miles McBride
17′ · -6
Cameron Payne
6′ · -4
Cade Cunningham
44′ · -2
Tobias Harris
39′ · -23
Jalen Duren
39′ · -3
Tim Hardaway Jr.
33′ · -7
Ausar Thompson
23′ · -7
Dennis Schroder
30′ · +7
Malik Beasley
24′ · +17
Paul Reed
8′ · +3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and DET.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Towns, Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, and Brunson played 26.3 minutes together.
Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, Robinson, and McBride played 5.2 minutes together.
Anunoby, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and Robinson played 4.2 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Detroit Pistons
Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, Harris, and Hardaway played 12.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 19 points.
Beasley, Cunningham, Duren, Harris, and Schroder played 7.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
Cunningham, Duren, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Towns, Hart, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 3.2 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Robinson, and McBride played 2.4 minutes together.
Towns, Payne, Anunoby, Bridges, and McBride played 2.2 minutes together.
Towns, Anunoby, Bridges, Brunson, and McBride played 2.0 minutes together.
Detroit Pistons
Beasley, Cunningham, Duren, Harris, and Hardaway played 5.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, Schroder, and Hardaway played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Beasley, Reed, Cunningham, Thompson, and Schroder played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Beasley, Reed, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Beasley, Reed, Cunningham, Harris, and Schroder played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Beasley, Duren, Harris, Schroder, and Hardaway played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Beasley, Cunningham, Thompson, Harris, and Schroder played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

