Houston Rockets – Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 October 2025

HOU124–125OKC

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 50 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ OKC winsHOU wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when OKC leads and falls when HOU does.

This is how the game was decided.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander decided it, the Oklahoma City Thunder player with the most points (35, with 5 rebounds and 5 assists; +3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Isaiah Hartenstein's (+9). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Oklahoma City Thunder 125-124 Houston Rockets (October 21, 2025) was hit by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: a free throw with 2.3 s left in overtime 2, putting the Oklahoma City Thunder up 125-124. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Oklahoma City Thunder 125-124 Houston Rockets (October 21, 2025) was a 8-0 run by the Oklahoma City Thunder between the fourth quarter and overtime, from 102-104 to 110-104. The Houston Rockets' best was a 7-0 run in the second quarter (from 2:46 to 1:44), from 46-45 to 53-45.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 2.3 seconds left in overtime 2, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 9 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Gilgeous-Alexander decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

21 October 2025 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401809243:865; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · HOU

Sengun · Smith · Adams · Eason · Sheppard

Closing lineup · OKC

Gilgeous-Alexander · Dort · Wallace · Williams · Caruso

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HOU

Alperen Sengun

49′ · +9

Kevin Durant

47′ · 0

Jabari Smith Jr.

42′ · +2

Amen Thompson

39′ · -11

Steven Adams

37′ · +2

Tari Eason

22′ · -4

Reed Sheppard

28′ · 0

Clint Capela

8′ · +5

Josh Okogie

20′ · -8

OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

47′ · +3

Luguentz Dort

45′ · +2

Cason Wallace

42′ · +8

Chet Holmgren

38′ · -1

Isaiah Hartenstein

37′ · +9

Jaylin Williams

13′ · -3

Aaron Wiggins

21′ · +2

Alex Caruso

30′ · -15

Brooks Barnhizer

2′ · -2

Ajay Mitchell

15′ · +2

Chris Youngblood

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. HOU and OKC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Houston Rockets

Sengun, Smith, Thompson, Durant, and Adams played 17.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Okogie, Sengun, Smith, Eason, and Thompson played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Sengun, Eason, Sheppard, Durant, and Capela played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Hartenstein, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, and Wallace played 12.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Caruso, Hartenstein, Wiggins, Holmgren, and Mitchell played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, and Wallace played 7.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Houston Rockets

Sengun, Smith, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Okogie, Sengun, Smith, Sheppard, and Adams played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Eason, Thompson, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Eason, Thompson, Sheppard, Durant, and Capela played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Okogie, Sengun, Smith, Sheppard, and Durant played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Okogie, Sengun, Smith, Thompson, and Durant played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Sengun, Eason, Thompson, Durant, and Adams played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Okogie, Smith, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Sengun, Thompson, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Hartenstein, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wiggins, and Wallace played 6.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, Williams, and Wallace played 4.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Caruso, Hartenstein, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, and Wallace played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Caruso, Hartenstein, Dort, Holmgren, and Mitchell played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Wiggins, Williams, and Barnhizer played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Hartenstein, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wallace, and Mitchell played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Wiggins, Holmgren, and Williams played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Williams, and Wallace played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wiggins, and Holmgren played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wiggins, and Williams played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Caruso, Hartenstein, Holmgren, Wallace, and Mitchell played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Alperen Sengun covered 4.88 km, more than anyone in the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander touched the ball 104 times, a game high.
Amen Thompson defended 6 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 4.
Steven Adams had 25 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Houston Rockets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Alperen Sengun	4.88	6.1	97	63
Kevin Durant	4.42	5.8	72	45
Jabari Smith Jr.	4.26	6.3	51	35
Amen Thompson	4.18	6.7	88	63
Steven Adams	3.88	6.6	42	34
Reed Sheppard	3.09	6.9	63	46
Tari Eason	2.37	6.7	37	24
Josh Okogie	2.25	7.0	16	10
Clint Capela	0.90	7.3	6	2

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	4.65	6.0	104	63
Cason Wallace	4.62	6.8	69	57
Luguentz Dort	4.57	6.3	53	38
Chet Holmgren	4.15	6.7	63	42
Isaiah Hartenstein	4.01	6.8	57

How far does Alperen Sengun run per game?

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who guarded whom

Luguentz Dort guarded Kevin Durant for 13.1 minutes, over 54 possessions.
In that time, Kevin Durant scored 12 points and made 4 of 5 shots.
Alex Caruso guarded Alperen Sengun for 7.9 minutes, over 31 possessions.
In that time, Alperen Sengun scored 15 points and made 5 of 6 shots.
Isaiah Hartenstein guarded Steven Adams for 7.6 minutes, over 29 possessions.
In that time, Steven Adams scored 2 points and made 1 of 1 shots.

▸See all 30 matchups of two minutes or more

Houston Rockets defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Thompson	Gilgeous-Alexander	7.2	31	11 (4/10)
Adams	Hartenstein	5.4	22	4 (1/3)
Durant	Dort	5.2	27	2 (0/3)
Durant	Wallace	4.8	23	1 (0/3)
Sengun	Dort	4.1	19	0 (0/1)
Sengun	Hartenstein	3.4	15	0 (0/1)
Smith	Holmgren	3.3	13	12 (4/5)
Smith	Wallace	2.8	14	3 (1/2)
Smith	Gilgeous-Alexander	2.6	12	7 (3/5)
Sengun	Holmgren	2.5	16	3 (1/3)
Eason	Holmgren	2.3	10	0 (0/0)
Sengun	Caruso	2.1	10	0 (0/1)
Smith	Caruso	2.0	9	0 (0/0)

Oklahoma City Thunder defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Dort	Durant	13.1	54	12 (4/5)
Caruso	Sengun	7.9	31	15 (5/6)
Hartenstein	Adams	7.6	29	2 (1/1)
Gilgeous-Alexander	Smith	7.4	29	7 (3/6)
Wallace	Thompson	6.9	29	7 (3/8)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Houston Rockets

Amen Thompson recovered 0.9 loose balls per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 9 of 399 in the league.
Reed Sheppard deflected 3.5 passes per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 12 of 399 in the league.
Alperen Sengun contested 8.7 shots per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 13 of 399 in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren defended 6.1 shots at the rim per game over his 69 games, and opponents made 15 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 1 of 118 in the league.
Cason Wallace deflected 4.4 passes per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 1 of 399 in the league.
Jaylin Williams drew 0.26 charges per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 5 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 41 of their 84 games against the Houston Rockets.

41-43record of the Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA 2008-09 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2008-09 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

18.203

100% of capacity

Paycom Center · Oklahoma City

Scoring

249

combined points

17.8 above the season average (231.2)