Win probability changed during the game. · 21 November 2025
The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
The last point of this curve falls on MIN's side, but PHX won 114-113. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when MIN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · MIN
McDaniels · Edwards · Gobert · Randle · DiVincenzo
Closing lineup · PHX
O'Neale · Williams · Dunn · Gillespie · Goodwin
Jaden McDaniels
40′ · +9
Anthony Edwards
40′ · -3
Rudy Gobert
35′ · +6
Julius Randle
34′ · +1
Donte DiVincenzo
32′ · +9
Naz Reid
27′ · -9
Mike Conley
14′ · -6
Jaylen Clark
8′ · -12
Rob Dillingham
9′ · 0
Joe Ingles
0′ · 0
Dillon Brooks
37′ · -3
Devin Booker
35′ · -2
Royce O'Neale
31′ · -4
Mark Williams
26′ · -15
Ryan Dunn
24′ · -5
Collin Gillespie
34′ · +14
Jordan Goodwin
29′ · +8
Isaiah Livers
3′ · +1
Nick Richards
8′ · +3
Oso Ighodaro
13′ · +8
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and PHX.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Minnesota Timberwolves
DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 18.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
DiVincenzo, Reid, McDaniels, Conley, and Gobert played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Reid, Edwards, Clark, Conley, and Randle played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Phoenix Suns
Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Williams, and Dunn played 8.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 16 points.
Booker, Brooks, Williams, Gillespie, and Dunn played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Williams, and Gillespie played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Minnesota Timberwolves
Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Dillingham, and Randle played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Gobert played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Edwards, McDaniels, Dillingham, Gobert, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, and Gobert played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, Clark, and Randle played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Phoenix Suns
O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Booker, Brooks, Richards, Goodwin, and Gillespie played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
O'Neale, Richards, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Dunn played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Booker, Brooks, Goodwin, Williams, and Gillespie played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, Williams, and Gillespie played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Booker, Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Ighodaro played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Booker, O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Williams played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Booker, Richards, Livers, Goodwin, and Gillespie played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Brooks, Livers, Williams, and Dunn played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

