SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 November 2025

MIN113–114PHX
Is it worth watching?

The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHX winsMIN wins ↓

The last point of this curve falls on MIN's side, but PHX won 114-113. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHX leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Jaden McDaniels
Anthony Edwards
Rudy Gobert
Julius Randle
Donte DiVincenzo

McDaniels · Edwards · Gobert · Randle · DiVincenzo

Closing lineup · PHX

Royce O'Neale
Mark Williams
Ryan Dunn
Collin Gillespie
Jordan Goodwin

O'Neale · Williams · Dunn · Gillespie · Goodwin

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MIN
Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

40′ · +9

Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

40′ · -3

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

35′ · +6

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

34′ · +1

Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo

32′ · +9

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

27′ · -9

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

14′ · -6

Jaylen Clark

Jaylen Clark

8′ · -12

Rob Dillingham

Rob Dillingham

9′ · 0

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

0′ · 0

PHX
Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

37′ · -3

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

35′ · -2

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

31′ · -4

Mark Williams

Mark Williams

26′ · -15

Ryan Dunn

Ryan Dunn

24′ · -5

Collin Gillespie

Collin Gillespie

34′ · +14

Jordan Goodwin

Jordan Goodwin

29′ · +8

Isaiah Livers

Isaiah Livers

3′ · +1

Nick Richards

Nick Richards

8′ · +3

Oso Ighodaro

Oso Ighodaro

13′ · +8

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and PHX.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 18.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, McDaniels, Conley, and Gobert played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Reid, Edwards, Clark, Conley, and Randle played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Williams, and Dunn played 8.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 16 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Williams, Gillespie, and Dunn played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Williams, and Gillespie played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Dillingham, and Randle played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Gobert played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Edwards, McDaniels, Dillingham, Gobert, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Conley, and Gobert played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, Clark, and Randle played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Phoenix Suns

  • O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Richards, Goodwin, and Gillespie played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • O'Neale, Richards, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Dunn played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Goodwin, Williams, and Gillespie played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, Williams, and Gillespie played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Ighodaro played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Williams played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brooks, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, Richards, Livers, Goodwin, and Gillespie played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Booker, Brooks, Livers, Williams, and Dunn played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.071
100% of capacity
Mortgage Matchup Center · Phoenix
Scoring
227
combined points
4.2 below the season average (231.2)