Win probability changed during the game. · 29 October 2025
It was more exciting than 49% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when CLE does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CLE
Porter · Nance · Proctor · Bryant · Travers
Closing lineup · BOS
Garza · Gonzalez · Tillman · Scheierman · Walsh
Evan Mobley
34′ · -22
Donovan Mitchell
32′ · -6
De'Andre Hunter
30′ · -25
Jaylon Tyson
27′ · -10
Jarrett Allen
25′ · -4
Lonzo Ball
24′ · +1
Dean Wade
18′ · -5
Craig Porter Jr.
22′ · -3
Larry Nance Jr.
14′ · -7
Tyrese Proctor
9′ · -9
Thomas Bryant
3′ · -5
Luke Travers
3′ · -5
Derrick White
35′ · +15
Josh Minott
33′ · +8
Payton Pritchard
32′ · +18
Jaylen Brown
32′ · +20
Neemias Queta
26′ · +25
Anfernee Simons
26′ · +6
Luka Garza
16′ · -1
Sam Hauser
21′ · +4
Hugo Gonzalez
4′ · -2
Xavier Tillman
4′ · -1
Baylor Scheierman
10′ · +5
Jordan Walsh
1′ · +3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CLE and BOS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Mitchell, Allen, Hunter, Mobley, and Tyson played 8.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.
Mitchell, Allen, Hunter, Wade, and Mobley played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Nance, Mitchell, Mobley, Porter, and Proctor played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Boston Celtics
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Minott played 14.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 19 points.
Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 6.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
White, Simons, Queta, Minott, and Scheierman played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Cleveland Cavaliers
Ball, Mitchell, Allen, Porter, and Tyson played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Ball, Mitchell, Allen, Wade, and Porter played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Ball, Mitchell, Hunter, Wade, and Mobley played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Ball, Hunter, Wade, Mobley, and Porter played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Ball, Hunter, Mobley, Porter, and Tyson played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Nance, Mitchell, Mobley, Porter, and Tyson played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Bryant, Travers, Porter, Tyson, and Proctor played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Nance, Ball, Allen, Hunter, and Tyson played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Ball, Hunter, Wade, Mobley, and Tyson played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Nance, Ball, Hunter, Mobley, and Tyson played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Mitchell, Hunter, Wade, Mobley, and Tyson played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Boston Celtics
White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Scheierman played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Hauser, and Minott played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Minott played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
White, Simons, Tillman, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
White, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Minott played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, White, Simons, Garza, and Minott played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, White, Pritchard, Garza, and Minott played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
White, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Minott played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

