SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 November 2025

BOS111–107ORL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 35 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ORL winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Derrick White
Jaylen Brown
Payton Pritchard
Luka Garza
Jordan Walsh

White · Brown · Pritchard · Garza · Walsh

Closing lineup · ORL

Franz Wagner
Desmond Bane
Paolo Banchero
Wendell Carter Jr.
Jalen Suggs

Wagner · Bane · Banchero · Carter · Suggs

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Derrick White

Derrick White

36′ · -4

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

34′ · -15

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

33′ · +2

Neemias Queta

Neemias Queta

26′ · 0

Josh Minott

Josh Minott

16′ · -17

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

23′ · +9

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

17′ · +9

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

17′ · +6

Jordan Walsh

Jordan Walsh

26′ · +13

Hugo Gonzalez

Hugo Gonzalez

13′ · +19

ORL
Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

37′ · +4

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

35′ · +11

Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero

35′ · +7

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

32′ · -3

Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs

29′ · +21

Tristan da Silva

Tristan da Silva

23′ · -2

Anthony Black

Anthony Black

20′ · -25

Goga Bitadze

Goga Bitadze

15′ · -6

Jonathan Isaac

Jonathan Isaac

4′ · -13

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

10′ · -14

Noah Penda

Noah Penda

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and ORL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Minott played 10.7 minutes together.

  • Brown, Simons, Garza, Hauser, and Walsh played 4.6 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Simons, Garza, and Hauser played 4.4 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Boston Celtics lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Orlando Magic

  • Carter, Bane, Wagner, Suggs, and Banchero played 17.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 17 points.

  • Bitadze, Bane, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jones, Bitadze, Wagner, Black, and da Silva played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Simons, Queta, Pritchard, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 4.1 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 3.7 minutes together.

  • White, Queta, Pritchard, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 3.6 minutes together.

  • White, Pritchard, Garza, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 3.4 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Pritchard, Garza, and Walsh played 2.8 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Simons, Queta, and Walsh played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Simons, Queta, and Hauser played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Simons, Pritchard, Minott, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 1.4 minutes together.

  • Brown, White, Simons, Pritchard, and Minott played 1.4 minutes together.

  • White, Simons, Garza, Hauser, and Walsh played 1.3 minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Jones, Bitadze, Wagner, Suggs, and da Silva played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Bane, Wagner, Banchero, and da Silva played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Bitadze, Bane, Suggs, Banchero, and da Silva played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Isaac, Carter, Wagner, and Black played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 12 points.

  • Carter, Bane, Wagner, Black, and da Silva played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jones, Carter, Wagner, Suggs, and Banchero played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Bane, Wagner, Banchero, and Black played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Carter, Bane, Banchero, Black, and da Silva played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bane, Wagner, Suggs, Banchero, and da Silva played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Isaac, Carter, Wagner, Suggs, and Black played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.096
96% of capacity
Kia Center · Orlando
Scoring
218
combined points
13.2 below the season average (231.2)