Win probability changed during the game. · 16 November 2025
It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 48 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
Giddey · Vucevic · Okoro · Huerter · White
Closing lineup · UTA
Markkanen · George · Nurkic · Mykhailiuk · Collier
Josh Giddey
42′ · -3
Nikola Vucevic
41′ · -3
Isaac Okoro
40′ · -15
Matas Buzelis
33′ · +3
Kevin Huerter
33′ · +7
Coby White
30′ · +6
Ayo Dosunmu
26′ · -2
Patrick Williams
14′ · -7
Julian Phillips
13′ · -1
Jalen Smith
17′ · 0
Lauri Markkanen
46′ · +4
Keyonte George
44′ · 0
Jusuf Nurkic
38′ · +9
Svi Mykhailiuk
29′ · -11
Ace Bailey
10′ · +8
Cody Williams
19′ · +4
Kevin Love
18′ · 0
Isaiah Collier
37′ · 0
Kyle Filipowski
21′ · -1
Brice Sensabaugh
28′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and UTA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
Huerter, Okoro, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 12.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Smith, Giddey, and Buzelis played 6.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
White, Williams, Dosunmu, Phillips, and Vucevic played 6.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Utah Jazz
Markkanen, George, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Nurkic played 13.0 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Bailey, and Nurkic played 6.1 minutes together.
George, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Love played 5.5 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Utah Jazz lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
White, Williams, Smith, Dosunmu, and Phillips played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
White, Okoro, Dosunmu, Giddey, and Vucevic played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
White, Okoro, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Huerter, White, Okoro, Giddey, and Vucevic played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Williams, Giddey, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Huerter, Smith, Dosunmu, Giddey, and Buzelis played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Huerter, Dosunmu, Phillips, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, White, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
White, Smith, Dosunmu, Giddey, and Buzelis played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Okoro, Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Utah Jazz
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Williams, and Nurkic played 5.4 minutes together.
Markkanen, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Love played 4.4 minutes together.
Mykhailiuk, George, Sensabaugh, Filipowski, and Love played 3.2 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Filipowski, and Love played 2.8 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Nurkic played 2.7 minutes together.
Markkanen, Sensabaugh, Collier, Bailey, and Nurkic played 2.7 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Collier, and Nurkic played 2.3 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Sensabaugh, and Nurkic played 1.4 minutes together.
Markkanen, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Nurkic played 1.4 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Williams, and Love played 1.3 minutes together.
Markkanen, Mykhailiuk, George, Sensabaugh, and Love played 1.3 minutes together.
Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, and Nurkic played 1.2 minutes together.
Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, Bailey, and Nurkic played 1.1 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
