Win probability changed during the game. · 19 November 2025
It was more exciting than 94% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 28 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
Vucevic · Giddey · Huerter · Buzelis · White
Closing lineup · POR
Avdija · Camara · Grant · Cissoko · Murray
Nikola Vucevic
34′ · -2
Josh Giddey
31′ · -13
Isaac Okoro
26′ · -9
Kevin Huerter
23′ · -11
Matas Buzelis
19′ · +3
Patrick Williams
13′ · +2
Dalen Terry
17′ · +16
Coby White
27′ · +7
Ayo Dosunmu
23′ · -11
Jalen Smith
12′ · +4
Jevon Carter
11′ · +6
Julian Phillips
5′ · +12
Deni Avdija
38′ · +6
Toumani Camara
37′ · +4
Jerami Grant
37′ · +10
Donovan Clingan
34′ · +8
Sidy Cissoko
22′ · -5
Kris Murray
35′ · +4
Caleb Love
18′ · -20
Hansen Yang
8′ · -5
Javonte Cooke
9′ · -4
Duop Reath
3′ · -3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and POR.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
Huerter, Okoro, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 8.2 minutes together.
White, Okoro, Dosunmu, Giddey, and Vucevic played 3.7 minutes together.
Carter, White, Smith, Dosunmu, and Terry played 3.5 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Portland Trail Blazers
Avdija, Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 10.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Avdija, Murray, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 9.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 21 points.
Avdija, Love, Murray, Camara, and Clingan played 8.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
Huerter, Okoro, Williams, Giddey, and Vucevic played 3.5 minutes together.
White, Williams, Smith, Dosunmu, and Terry played 3.5 minutes together.
Huerter, Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 3.2 minutes together.
White, Dosunmu, Terry, Phillips, and Vucevic played 2.8 minutes together.
White, Okoro, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 2.7 minutes together.
Carter, White, Williams, Dosunmu, and Buzelis played 2.6 minutes together.
Huerter, White, Okoro, Giddey, and Vucevic played 2.2 minutes together.
Huerter, Williams, Giddey, Terry, and Vucevic played 2.1 minutes together.
Carter, White, Okoro, Smith, and Terry played 2.0 minutes together.
Carter, Okoro, Smith, Dosunmu, and Giddey played 1.8 minutes together.
Huerter, White, Okoro, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 1.6 minutes together.
Carter, White, Williams, Smith, and Terry played 1.0 minutes together.
Portland Trail Blazers
Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Love, Murray, Cooke, Yang, and Grant played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Avdija, Love, Murray, Camara, and Yang played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Cissoko, Cooke, Reath, Clingan, and Grant played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Love, Murray, Cissoko, Clingan, and Grant played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Murray, Cissoko, Cooke, Clingan, and Grant played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
