SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 November 2025

CHI101–103IND
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 85% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 28 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Ayo Dosunmu
Josh Giddey
Matas Buzelis
Nikola Vucevic
Tre Jones

Dosunmu · Giddey · Buzelis · Vucevic · Jones

Closing lineup · IND

Bennedict Mathurin
Pascal Siakam
Andrew Nembhard
Jay Huff
T.J. McConnell

Mathurin · Siakam · Nembhard · Huff · McConnell

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

35′ · -1

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey

34′ · +7

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

34′ · -12

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

32′ · -8

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

30′ · -7

Tre Jones

Tre Jones

29′ · +6

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

17′ · -6

Jevon Carter

Jevon Carter

11′ · -13

Lachlan Olbrich

Lachlan Olbrich

11′ · +15

Emanuel Miller

Emanuel Miller

7′ · +8

IND
Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

38′ · +3

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

36′ · +22

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

32′ · -12

Jay Huff

Jay Huff

25′ · +2

Ben Sheppard

Ben Sheppard

22′ · -3

Isaiah Jackson

Isaiah Jackson

23′ · 0

Jarace Walker

Jarace Walker

20′ · -5

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl

11′ · -18

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

25′ · +20

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

8′ · +1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Huerter, Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 12.1 minutes together.

  • Huerter, Jones, Dosunmu, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 6.5 minutes together.

  • Huerter, Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, and Olbrich played 2.7 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and Sheppard played 13.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Robinson-Earl, Jackson, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 5.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Huff, Mathurin, and McConnell played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Jones, Dosunmu, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 2.6 minutes together.

  • Carter, Williams, Jones, Giddey, and Buzelis played 2.6 minutes together.

  • Huerter, Williams, Jones, Giddey, and Vucevic played 2.5 minutes together.

  • Carter, Huerter, Williams, Dosunmu, and Buzelis played 2.4 minutes together.

  • Carter, Williams, Jones, Giddey, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.

  • Carter, Huerter, Williams, Jones, and Olbrich played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Jones, Dosunmu, Giddey, Miller, and Olbrich played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Huerter, Jones, Giddey, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Carter, Williams, Jones, Dosunmu, and Buzelis played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Williams, Jones, Dosunmu, Miller, and Olbrich played 1.7 minutes together.

  • Jones, Dosunmu, Giddey, Miller, and Vucevic played 1.6 minutes together.

  • Williams, Dosunmu, Giddey, Miller, and Olbrich played 1.4 minutes together.

  • Huerter, Jones, Giddey, Buzelis, and Olbrich played 1.0 minutes together.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Mathews, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, and Sheppard played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Jackson, Walker, and McConnell played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Huff, Mathurin, Sheppard, and McConnell played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Nembhard, Robinson-Earl, Jackson, Mathurin, and Sheppard played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Siakam, Huff, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Jackson, Mathurin, and McConnell played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Siakam, Mathews, Huff, Walker, and McConnell played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Nembhard, Robinson-Earl, Jackson, Mathurin, and Walker played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mathews, Jackson, Mathurin, Walker, and McConnell played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Mathews, Jackson, and Walker played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.006
94.9% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
204
combined points
27.2 below the season average (231.2)