SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 5 January 2026

PHX97–100HOU
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 53 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ HOU winsPHX wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when HOU leads and falls when PHX does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHX

Dillon Brooks
Devin Booker
Royce O'Neale
Collin Gillespie
Jordan Goodwin

Brooks · Booker · O'Neale · Gillespie · Goodwin

Closing lineup · HOU

Kevin Durant
Jabari Smith Jr.
Amen Thompson
Tari Eason
Josh Okogie

Durant · Smith · Thompson · Eason · Okogie

Q1Q2Q3Q4
PHX
Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

34′ · -5

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

33′ · 0

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

31′ · +2

Collin Gillespie

Collin Gillespie

25′ · -1

Mark Williams

Mark Williams

21′ · 0

Jordan Goodwin

Jordan Goodwin

25′ · +3

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen

22′ · -8

Oso Ighodaro

Oso Ighodaro

27′ · -3

Ryan Dunn

Ryan Dunn

17′ · -3

Rasheer Fleming

Rasheer Fleming

5′ · 0

HOU
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

39′ · +4

Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr.

38′ · +5

Amen Thompson

Amen Thompson

37′ · -7

Steven Adams

Steven Adams

31′ · +7

Tari Eason

Tari Eason

30′ · +4

Reed Sheppard

Reed Sheppard

23′ · +8

Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith

14′ · -2

Clint Capela

Clint Capela

9′ · -2

Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie

9′ · +4

Aaron Holiday

Aaron Holiday

10′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and HOU.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Williams, and Gillespie played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Allen, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 7.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Ighodaro played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Houston Rockets

  • Smith, Eason, Thompson, Durant, and Adams played 10.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Smith, Eason, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Smith, Eason, Thompson, Sheppard, and Adams played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Phoenix Suns

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Allen, and Williams played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Allen, Goodwin, and Ighodaro played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • O'Neale, Gillespie, Ighodaro, Dunn, and Fleming played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Goodwin, and Williams played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brooks, Allen, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Booker, Brooks, Allen, Goodwin, and Williams played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Booker, Allen, Goodwin, Ighodaro, and Dunn played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Houston Rockets

  • Finney-Smith, Holiday, Smith, Thompson, and Durant played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Finney-Smith, Thompson, Sheppard, Durant, and Capela played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Okogie, Eason, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Okogie, Smith, Thompson, Durant, and Capela played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Holiday, Smith, Thompson, and Adams played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Finney-Smith, Smith, Thompson, Sheppard, and Capela played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Holiday, Okogie, Smith, Thompson, and Durant played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Finney-Smith, Okogie, Thompson, Durant, and Capela played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Eason, Thompson, Sheppard, Durant, and Adams played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Smith, Eason, Thompson, Durant, and Capela played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.055
100% of capacity
Toyota Center · Houston
Scoring
197
combined points
34.2 below the season average (231.2)