SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 29 January 2026

CHA123–121DAL
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 26 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when CHA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Miles Bridges
Kon Knueppel
Moussa Diabate
Brandon Miller
Sion James

Bridges · Knueppel · Diabate · Miller · James

Closing lineup · DAL

Cooper Flagg
P.J. Washington
Max Christie
Daniel Gafford
Klay Thompson

Flagg · Washington · Christie · Gafford · Thompson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHA
Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

38′ · +11

Kon Knueppel

Kon Knueppel

36′ · +7

Moussa Diabate

Moussa Diabate

32′ · 0

LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

31′ · +9

Brandon Miller

Brandon Miller

27′ · +12

Josh Green

Josh Green

15′ · -8

Sion James

Sion James

16′ · -5

Ryan Kalkbrenner

Ryan Kalkbrenner

15′ · 0

Tidjane Salaun

Tidjane Salaun

10′ · -9

Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

20′ · -7

DAL
Cooper Flagg

Cooper Flagg

38′ · +2

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

35′ · -5

Max Christie

Max Christie

29′ · -13

Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin

27′ · -11

Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford

25′ · -8

Dwight Powell

Dwight Powell

5′ · -3

Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson

27′ · +3

Brandon Williams

Brandon Williams

21′ · +11

Moussa Cisse

Moussa Cisse

17′ · +11

Ryan Nembhard

Ryan Nembhard

9′ · -2

Jaden Hardy

Jaden Hardy

6′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and DAL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Bridges, Ball, Diabate, Miller, and Knueppel played 13.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Bridges, Green, Kalkbrenner, Knueppel, and James played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bridges, Sexton, Ball, Diabate, and Knueppel played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Martin, Washington, Gafford, Christie, and Flagg played 7.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • Washington, Gafford, Williams, Flagg, and Thompson played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Martin, Washington, Christie, Flagg, and Powell played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

  • Bridges, Sexton, Ball, Diabate, and Miller played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Bridges, Ball, Green, Diabate, and Knueppel played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Green, Kalkbrenner, Salaun, Knueppel, and James played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Sexton, Ball, Diabate, Miller, and Salaun played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Sexton, Miller, Kalkbrenner, Salaun, and James played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Bridges, Sexton, Green, Diabate, and James played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Bridges, Sexton, Miller, Kalkbrenner, and Knueppel played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Sexton, Ball, Kalkbrenner, Salaun, and Knueppel played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Bridges, Green, Diabate, Knueppel, and James played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Bridges, Miller, Kalkbrenner, Knueppel, and James played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

Dallas Mavericks

  • Washington, Cisse, Hardy, Flagg, and Nembhard played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Washington, Williams, Cisse, Christie, and Flagg played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Washington, Gafford, Christie, Flagg, and Thompson played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Martin, Gafford, Williams, Christie, and Thompson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Washington, Williams, Cisse, Flagg, and Thompson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Washington, Cisse, Flagg, Nembhard, and Thompson played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Martin, Gafford, Christie, Flagg, and Thompson played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Martin, Washington, Gafford, Williams, and Thompson played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Martin, Williams, Cisse, Christie, and Thompson played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Martin, Williams, Cisse, Flagg, and Thompson played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Martin, Cisse, Hardy, Flagg, and Nembhard played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Martin, Gafford, Hardy, Christie, and Nembhard played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Washington, Cisse, Christie, Flagg, and Thompson played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.024
99.1% of capacity
American Airlines Center · Dallas
Scoring
244
combined points
12.8 above the season average (231.2)