Win probability changed during the game. · 12 February 2026
It was more exciting than 57% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 23 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when UTA leads and falls when POR does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · POR
Cissoko · Rupert · Yang · Wesley · Cooke
Closing lineup · UTA
Sensabaugh · Bailey · Williams · Hinson · Mykhailiuk
Jerami Grant
33′ · +23
Jrue Holiday
33′ · +29
Donovan Clingan
31′ · +21
Sidy Cissoko
30′ · +25
Toumani Camara
29′ · +24
Scoot Henderson
20′ · -6
Rayan Rupert
16′ · -3
Vit Krejci
25′ · +4
Hansen Yang
3′ · -8
Caleb Love
15′ · -14
Blake Wesley
4′ · -12
Javonte Cooke
1′ · -3
Isaiah Collier
36′ · -24
Brice Sensabaugh
36′ · -27
Ace Bailey
35′ · -19
Kyle Filipowski
30′ · -17
Cody Williams
25′ · -13
John Konchar
25′ · +9
Oscar Tshiebwe
5′ · +8
Vince Williams Jr.
7′ · +6
Blake Hinson
25′ · 0
Svi Mykhailiuk
17′ · -3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and UTA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Portland Trail Blazers
Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 12.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 24 points.
Krejci, Cissoko, Camara, Holiday, and Grant played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Krejci, Love, Rupert, Clingan, and Holiday played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Utah Jazz
Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 10.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 18 points.
Konchar, Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 7.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Mykhailiuk, Konchar, Sensabaugh, Collier, and Hinson played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Portland Trail Blazers
Henderson, Cissoko, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Henderson, Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Krejci, Henderson, Cissoko, Rupert, and Holiday played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Henderson, Cissoko, Rupert, Camara, and Grant played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Krejci, Henderson, Love, Rupert, and Clingan played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Krejci, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Krejci, Wesley, Love, Clingan, and Holiday played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Krejci, Love, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Krejci, Henderson, Rupert, Camara, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Krejci, Henderson, Love, Clingan, and Grant played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Henderson, Love, Cissoko, Clingan, and Grant played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Utah Jazz
Mykhailiuk, Konchar, Williams, Hinson, and Bailey played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Konchar, Tshiebwe, Williams, Hinson, and Bailey played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, and Hinson played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Williams, Filipowski, Hinson, and Bailey played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Konchar, Sensabaugh, Collier, Filipowski, and Hinson played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Mykhailiuk, Sensabaugh, Collier, Hinson, and Bailey played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Konchar, Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, and Filipowski played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Mykhailiuk, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Mykhailiuk, Williams, Collier, Hinson, and Bailey played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Konchar, Tshiebwe, Williams, Sensabaugh, and Williams played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

